Match Info

Date: 11 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer (Guayaquil)


	9 de Octubre		Deportivo Cuenca

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.87
	2.28	3.2	3.05
	2.32	3.05	2.95
	2.33	3.17	3.34
	2.3	3	3
	2.24	3.32	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.15)	3.13 ↓ (3.16)	3.07 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Octubre
40.3%

Draw
29.6%

Deportivo Cuenca
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

29.1%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28.2%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	40%	35%

9 de Octubre - Deportivo Cuenca Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 18.5% – 61.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 6).

9 de Octubre is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Cuenca is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

9 de Octubre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Deportivo Cuenca have a series of home games.

9 de Octubre will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches 9 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams 9 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Copa
08.09.22	El Nacional - 9 de Octubre	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.09.22	Guayaquil City - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	9 de Octubre - Emelec	0:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
17.08.22	9 de Octubre - Mushuc Runa	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.08.22	9 de Octubre - SD Aucas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLWL
- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.09.22	Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle	2:1 ✺
26.08.22	Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
15.08.22	Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín	3:2 ✺
07.08.22	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca	0:2 ✺
29.07.22	Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.04.22	Deportivo Cuenca - 9 de Octubre	1:1
17.10.21	Deportivo Cuenca - 9 de Octubre	3:1
01.05.21	9 de Octubre - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1

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