Match Info

Date: 4 May 2022, Wednesday


	Deportes Antofagasta		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.5
	2.7	3.3	2.45
	2.6	3.3	2.6
	2.75	3.25	2.34
	2.79	3.54	2.48
	2.55	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.67	3.4	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.62)	3.34 ↑ (3.1)	2.47 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Antofagasta
34.5%

Draw
27.8%

LDU Quito
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

28.9%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

30.1%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Antofagasta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Antofagasta's performance.

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LDU Quito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Antofagasta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	21.1%	57.9%

Deportes Antofagasta - LDU Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Antofagasta will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LDU Quito: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Antofagasta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Antofagasta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Antofagasta
Chilean Primera Division
30.04.22	Deportes Antofagasta - OHiggins	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.04.22	Deportes Antofagasta - Atlético Goianiense	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
23.04.22	Deportes Antofagasta - Huachipato	0:0 ✺
17.04.22	Curicó Unido - Deportes Antofagasta	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.04.22	LDU Quito - Deportes Antofagasta	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTLL
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.05.22	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.22	Defensa y Justicia - LDU Quito	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.04.22	LDU Quito - Mushuc Runa	3:2 ✺
20.04.22	Orense - LDU Quito	3:0 ✺
17.04.22	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
12.04.22	LDU Quito - Deportes Antofagasta	4:0

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