Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 14

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción)


	Deportes Concepción		Rangers de Talca

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.5
	2.42	3.3	2.62
	2.42	3.32	2.63
				Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.7
	2.47	3.24	2.66
	2.42	3.3	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.25)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	2.62 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Concepción
37.2%

Draw
28.1%

Rangers de Talca
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

28.2%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Rangers de Talca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Deportes Concepción - Rangers de Talca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Araya N. (G) 4. Caceres A. 5. Silva S. 20. Zambrano Diego 22. L’Huillier N. 11. Valdivia B. 8. Manzo F. 14. Martinez S. 10. Nunez F. 7. Gillard A. 32. Larrivey J.	25. Gamonal Ruiz J. L. (G) 4. San Juan B. 3. Sanhueza M. 23. Duran V. 13. Mora A. 8. Leyton S. 32. Jorquera C. 20. Moya G. 17. Ibanez I. 31. Diaz I. (C) 7. Reyes G.
Substitutes
6. Astete N. 13. Cornejo F. 9. Escobar C. 24. Espinola J. 23. Ojeda U. 31. Saez I. (G) 27. Sepulveda N.	16. Araya J. 6. Barrientos F. 5. Gonzalez M. 18. Lobos C. 11. Pinto M. 1. Rodriguez G. (G) 9. Sanchez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Gillard A. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Gillard A. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Mora A. ⚽,
43', Sanhueza M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Manzo F. ↓, Astete N. ↑,
46', Nunez F. ↓, Ojeda U. ↑,
46', Jorquera C. ↓, Lobos C. ↑,
52', Valdivia B. 🟨,
71', Reyes G. ↓, Araya J. ↑,
76', 🟨,
78', Valdivia B. ↓, Espinola J. ↑,
84', Mora A. 🟨,
89', Araya N. 🟨,
90', 1 - 2, Leyton S. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Rangers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
01.06.25	Deportes Concepción - Santiago Wanderers	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Concepción	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Deportes Concepción - San Marcos de Arica	1:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
11.05.25	Unión Española - Deportes Concepción	5:1 ✺
07.05.25	Audax Italiano - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTWLL
- Rangers de Talca
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
08.06.25	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Recoleta	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Rangers de Talca	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Temuco	2:3 ✺
17.05.25	Unión San Felipe - Rangers de Talca	0:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
11.05.25	Rangers de Talca - OHiggins	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTLWW

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