Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 12

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción)


	Deportes Concepción		Santiago Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.55
	2.35	3.3	2.85
	2.04	3.45	3.4
	2.35	3.4	2.89	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.62
	2.31	3.34	2.86	Watch
	2.35	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.22)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)	2.86 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Concepción
39.6%

Draw
28.1%

Santiago Wanderers
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

25.1%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Deportes Concepción - Santiago Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Araya N. (G) 5. Silva S. (C) 18. Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 22. L’Huillier N. 6. Astete N. 11. Valdivia B. 14. Martinez S. 20. Zambrano Diego 23. Ojeda U. 4. Caceres A. 32. Larrivey J.	1. Miranda E. (G) 4. Espinoza V. 6. Torres Quintana D. 33. Velasquez M. 17. Herrera A. 5. Navarro L. 29. Gatica J. 8. Pereyra J. 30. Espinoza E. 10. Luna J. 21. Duma J.
Substitutes
9. Escobar C. 24. Espinola J. 17. Fernandez C. 7. Gillard A. 8. Manzo F. 10. Nunez F. 31. Saez I. (G)	26. Astroza Zambrano C. A. 13. Cubillos F. 3. Margas L. 12. Martinez B. (G) 7. Opazo D. 16. Parra R. 11. Valladares J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Ojeda U. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Silva S. 🟨,
55', L’Huillier N. 🟨,
60', L’Huillier N. ↓, Nunez F. ↑,
69', Ojeda U. ↓, Gillard A. ↑,
71', Espinoza V. ↓, Margas L. ↑,
74', Miranda E. 🟨,
78', Espinoza E. ↓, Valladares J. ↑,
81', Astete N. ↓, Manzo F. ↑,
81', Saavedra Saavedra F. I. ↓, Espinola J. ↑,
90+4', Pereyra J. 🟨,
90+5', Martinez S. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Deportes Concepción may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Deportes Concepción has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
24.05.25	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Concepción	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Deportes Concepción - San Marcos de Arica	1:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
11.05.25	Unión Española - Deportes Concepción	5:1 ✺
07.05.25	Audax Italiano - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.05.25	Cobreloa - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWLLL
- Santiago Wanderers
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
25.05.25	Santiago Wanderers - Santiago Morning	2:3 ✺
18.05.25	Deportes Santa Cruz - Santiago Wanderers	2:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
12.05.25	Santiago Wanderers - Unión San Felipe	0:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
04.05.25	Santiago Wanderers - San Luis de Quillota	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Rangers de Talca - Santiago Wanderers	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
27.06.21	Deportes Concepción - Santiago Wanderers	1:1
24.06.21	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Concepción	0:1
24.03.19	Deportes Concepción - Santiago Wanderers	1:4

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