Match Info

Date: 15 December 2020, Tuesday


	Deportes Magallanes		Deportes Valdivia

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.2	3.75
	1.87	3.1	3.6
	1.92	3.1	3.8
	1.97	3.29	4.15
	1.91	3.1	3.9
	1.94	3.36	3.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.11)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	3.85 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Magallanes
47.7%

Draw
28.6%

Deportes Valdivia
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

28.2%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

19.7%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Magallanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Deportes Valdivia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Valdivia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Magallanes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Valdivia than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Valdivia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Valdivia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 11).

Magallanes is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Deportes Valdivia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportes Valdivia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Deportes Valdivia have a series of home games.

In this match Magallanes is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Magallanes won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Magallanes won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Magallanes
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
10.12.20	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Magallanes	1:0 ✺
25.11.20	Barnechea - Deportes Magallanes	2:1 ✺
20.11.20	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Copiapó	1:1 ✺
16.11.20	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Magallanes	0:0 ✺
12.11.20	Deportes Magallanes - Unión San Felipe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTTT
- Deportes Valdivia
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
10.12.20	Deportes Valdivia - Barnechea	1:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
08.12.20	Deportes Valdivia - Calamonte	1:3 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.12.20	Deportes Valdivia - San Marcos de Arica	2:1 ✺
30.11.20	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Valdivia	2:1 ✺
27.11.20	Deportes Valdivia - Ñublense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
27.09.20	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Magallanes	1:0
19.05.19	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Valdivia	3:2
23.09.18	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Magallanes	2:2
01.04.18	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Valdivia	3:2
07.10.17	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Magallanes	0:1
14.04.17	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Magallanes	1:2
28.08.16	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Valdivia	2:0

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