Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 27 June 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro (Ibagué)

Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)


	Deportes Tolima		Academia Puerto Cabello

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	6	Watch
	1.53	4	6
	1.54	3.8	6.5
	1.56	3.79	6.84
	1.5	3.8	5.8
	1.53	4.2	5.95	Watch
	1.55	3.95	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.38)	3.93 ↓ (4.6)	6.1 ↓ (7.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Tolima
60.8%

Draw
23.8%

Academia Puerto Cabello
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

20.2%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

19.2%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Tolima's form might have worsened.

Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Tolima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Deportes Tolima - Academia Puerto Cabello Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Puerto Cabello will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vargas Cortes C. (G) 21. Arboleda J. 5. Mera J. 6. Trujillo C. 20. Hernandez J. 14. Rios J. D. 15. Nieto J. P. 34. Bone F. 10. Guzman Y. 33. Lucumi J. 27. Herazo D.	55. Romero L. (G) 2. Gomez S. 4. Rivero C. 3. Osio D. 30. Granados J. 14. Figueroa R. 6. Alcala J. 23. Colina J. 11. Montero A. 9. Hernandez L. 7. Perez D.
Substitutes
18. Arango E. 36. Candelo D. 13. Carabali J. D. 16. Esparragoza C. 37. Gutierrez S. (G) 25. Perez K. 8. Sosa E.	26. Cantillo J. 17. De La Hoz K. 25. Fermin G. 15. Gonzalez J. 20. Guerrero R. 8. Lugo W. 28. Maestre Nino L. A. 24. Monjes G. 18. Montana C. 21. Padron G. 13. Peraza E. 1. Silva M. (G)
Coaches
Real J. C.	Sanvicente N.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Deportes Tolima is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Deportes Tolima won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Tolima
Copa Sudamericana
08.06.23	São Paulo - Deportes Tolima	5:0 ✺
24.05.23	Tigre - Deportes Tolima	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
17.05.23	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional	2:2 ✺
13.05.23	Unión Magdalena - Deportes Tolima	1:1 ✺
06.05.23	Deportes Tolima - Alianza Valledupar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTTTW
- Academia Puerto Cabello
Copa Sudamericana
06.06.23	Tigre - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:1 ✺
23.05.23	Academia Puerto Cabello - São Paulo	0:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
12.05.23	Zamora - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:3 ✺
07.05.23	Academia Puerto Cabello - Caracas	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.05.23	Academia Puerto Cabello - Tigre	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
06.04.23	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportes Tolima	0:2

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