Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 23 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Complejo Deportivo Socialista (Carabobo)

Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV


	Academia Puerto Cabello		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	6	4	1.53	Watch
	5.75	3.9	1.57
	5.2	4.25	1.57
	5.95	4.16	1.56
	6	3.6	1.52
	6.15	4.1	1.53	Watch
	5.8	3.95	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.84 ↓ (5.98)	3.99 ↑ (3.9)	1.54 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Academia Puerto Cabello
16%

Draw
23.4%

São Paulo
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

23.8%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

23.8%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Academia Puerto Cabello - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Puerto Cabello will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). São Paulo will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Puerto Cabello is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

São Paulo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Puerto Cabello could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match São Paulo is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Puerto Cabello won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuelan Primera Division
12.05.23	Zamora - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:3 ✺
07.05.23	Academia Puerto Cabello - Caracas	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.05.23	Academia Puerto Cabello - Tigre	0:3 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.04.23	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Táchira	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Monagas - Academia Puerto Cabello	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLTL
- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
20.05.23	São Paulo - Vasco da Gama	4:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.05.23	Sport Recife - São Paulo	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
14.05.23	Corinthians - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
11.05.23	Fortaleza - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
07.05.23	São Paulo - Internacional RS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
18.04.23	São Paulo - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:0

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