Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro (Ibagué)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN 7
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 2, ESPN 7
Ecuador	ESPN 7, ESPN
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 7, ESPN


	Deportes Tolima		Independiente del Valle

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.20	2.55	Watch
	3.10	2.90	2.45
	3.05	3.00	2.43	Watch
	3.21	3.06	2.51
	3.14	3.05	2.5	Watch
	3.15	3.00	2.45	Watch
	2.99	3.06	2.64	Watch
	3.15	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.93)	3.05 ↓ (3.24)	2.51 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportes Tolima
30.9%

Draw
31.2%

Independiente del Valle
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

29.4%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	55.6%	44.4%

Deportes Tolima - Independiente del Valle Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Deportes Tolima (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neto Volpi (G) 33. Mosquera J. 3. Angulo J. 2. Angulo A. (C) 20. Hernandez J. 32. Guzman S. 80. Rovira B. 7. Hurtado J. 14. Martinez Yepez H. E. 18. Florez K. 24. Parra Osorio A.	1. Quintana A. (G) 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 14. Carabajal M. 5. Schunke R. 19. Loor L. 28. Quintana H. 6. Alcivar J. 17. Rodriguez A. 10. Sornoza J. (C) 31. Pata E. 9. Gonzalez C.
Substitutes
15. Aguayo S. 23. Balanta Carabali G. J. (G) 28. Lopez E. 5. Mera J. 31. Moreno Y. 70. Ortega M. (G) 71. Osorio Y. 4. Pedrozo D. 16. Reyes V. 10. Sanchez L. 11. Valencia J.	50. Angulo J. 16. Briones R. 15. Cortez G. 4. Espinoza J. 32. Mendez J. 8. Ochoa Y. 70. Peralta M. (G) 11. Perello M. 56. Quintero E. 99. Reasco D. 33. Velasco A. 23. Viacava J.
Coaches
Oliveros S.	Papa J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Pata E. (A),
19', Rovira B. ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
31', Hernandez J. 🟨,
34', Sanchez L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Florez K. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
47', Schunke R. 🟨,
52', Carabajal M. 🟨,
70', Pata E. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
70', Sornoza J. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
72', Hurtado J. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
83', Quintana H. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
83', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Aguayo S. ↑,
90', Rodriguez A. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
90', Gonzalez C. ↓, Reasco D. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Deportes Tolima has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ind del Valle is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ind del Valle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Deportes Tolima: Mera J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ind del Valle: Arroyo J. P. (Knee Injury) Cazares (Knee Injury) Villar G. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Deportes Tolima: 0.62%

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Tolima - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 32.46%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
08.08.26	Deportes Tolima - Inter Bogotá	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellín	2:3 ✺
01.08.26	Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima	1:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
28.07.26	Deportes Quindío - Deportes Tolima	3:1 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.07.26	Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLW
- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
14.08.26	Independiente del Valle - Delfín	3:2 ✺
07.08.26	LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
29.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Manta	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.07.26	Orense - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
04.05.22	Deportes Tolima - Independiente del Valle	1:0
13.04.22	Independiente del Valle - Deportes Tolima	2:2

Upcoming Matches