Match Info

LaLiga - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	14:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	21:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	18:30	DAZN
Bangladesh	23:30	Begin
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	14:30	Disney+
Canada	12:30	TSN+
Chile	14:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
China	01:30	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	18:30	TV2 Play
Finland	19:30	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	18:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	18:30	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	01:30	M Plus Live
India	23:00	FanCode
Indonesia	00:30	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	18:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	02:30	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	20:30	Gotv
Laos	00:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	11:30	Sky Sport
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
Nigeria	18:30	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	18:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:30	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	12:30	Disney+
Philippines	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	18:30	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	17:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	19:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	20:30	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	18:30	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3
Singapore	01:30	beIN Sport 1, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	18:30	Voyo
Slovenia	18:30	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	19:30	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	18:30	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	18:30	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Thailand	00:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports 4
Turkey	20:30	beIN Sports 5, S Sport+
Ukraine	19:30	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United Kingdom	17:30	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	14:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	13:30	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:30	K+, SCTV 15


	Deportivo Alavés		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	5.5	Watch
	1.88	3.1	4.8
	1.92	3.05	4.95	Watch
	1.81	3.18	5.29
	1.86	3.11	5.29	Watch
	1.85	3	4.8
	1.94	3.19	5.38	Watch
	1.88	3	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.84)	3.08 ↓ (3.19)	5.17 ↑ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
50.6%

Draw
30.9%

Real Oviedo
18.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.7%

29.8%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

29.5%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The chances for Real Oviedo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.4%	22.2%	8.3%

Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 25 - 69.4%). Oviedo will win (votes: 3 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 54.3% – 84.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Oviedo (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Oviedo (5.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 5 - 50%). Oviedo (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivera A. (G) 17. Jonny Otto 14. Tenaglia N. 5. Pacheco J. 3. Yusi 8. Blanco A. (C) 20. Calebe 19. Ibanez P. 4. Suarez D. 10. Alena C. 11. Martinez T.	13. Escandell A. (G) 24. Ahijado L. 4. Costas D. (C) 2. Bailly E. 3. Alhassane R. 6. Sibo K. 11. Colombatto S. 7. Chaira I. 5. Reina A. 18. Brekalo J. 9. Vinas F.
Substitutes
30. Ballestero C. 15. Boye L. 13. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Guevara A. 18. Guridi J. 34. Manas A. 23. Protesoni C. 21. Rebbach A. 31. Swiderski G. (G) 7. Vicente C.	27. Agudin P. 12. Calvo D. 16. Carmo D. 8. Cazorla S. 20. Dendoncker L. 23. Fonseca N. 19. Fores A. 10. Hassan H. 21. Ilic L. 25. Lopez J. 15. Luengo O. 1. Moldovan H. (G)
Coaches
Coudet E.	Almada G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Vinas F. 🟨,
45+2', Suarez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Suarez D. ↓, Boye L. ↑,
46', Calebe ↓, Vicente C. ↑,
54', Brekalo J. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
54', Bailly E. ↓, Carmo D. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Vinas F. ⚽, Chaira I. (A),
62', Alena C. ↓, Rebbach A. ↑,
62', Ibanez P. ↓, Protesoni C. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Boye L. ⚽,
74', Reina A. ↓, Fonseca N. ↑,
76', Vinas F. 🟨,
78', Alhassane R. 🟨,
79', Protesoni C. 🟨,
85', Colombatto S. ↓, Fores A. ↑,
85', Chaira I. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
88', Protesoni C. 🟨,
90', Martinez T. ↓, Manas A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 2.

Recent performances by Alavés have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oviedo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Alavés is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Alavés: Diarra M. (Inactive) Diaz M. (Inactive) Garces F. (Suspended) Parada V. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Oviedo: Ejaria O. (Injury) Lemos A. (Knee Injury) Vidal N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Alavés: Boye L. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alaves	10	3	3	4	14:11	3	12

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Alaves: 0.2%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
20.12.25	Osasuna - Deportivo Alavés	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
14.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Portugalete - Deportivo Alavés	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWW
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
20.12.25	Real Oviedo - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Sevilla - Real Oviedo	4:0 ✺
05.12.25	Real Oviedo - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
13.01.23	Real Oviedo - Deportivo Alavés	1:0
29.10.22	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	2:1
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	0:0
10.08.19	Real Oviedo - Deportivo Alavés	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
30.01.16	Real Oviedo - Deportivo Alavés	1:1
30.08.15	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	2:0

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