Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Lopez M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
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Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	TSN+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport Open Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
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Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Canal 5, Sky Sport, TUDN
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, Setanta Sports
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South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, ETB, Gol Play, Gol Stadium, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, TUDN
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	SCTV Online
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, SportsMax App


	Deportivo Alavés		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.61	3.8	5.75
	1.66	4	5.5	Watch
	1.67	3.95	5.9
	1.63	3.91	5.99	Watch
	1.62	3.75	6
	1.67	3.96	6.12	Watch
	1.66	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.76)	3.91 ↑ (3.67)	5.78 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
58.7%

Draw
24.7%

Valladolid
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.1%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

19.6%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Alavés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valladolid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	6.4%	9%

Deportivo Alavés - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Alavés will win (64 of 74 users predict this - 86.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.7% – 94.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivera A. (G) 14. Tenaglia N. 5. Abqar A. 22. Diarra M. 3. Sanchez M. 6. Guevara A. (C) 8. Blanco A. 18. Guridi J. 7. Vicente C. 11. Martinez T. 10. Conechny T.	13. Hein K. (G) 2. Perez L. 5. Sanchez J. (C) 3. Torres D. 30. Ruiz R. C. 11. Moro R. 15. Comert E. 12. Martin M. 23. Anuar 21. Amallah S. 7. Sylla M.
Substitutes
23. Benavidez C. 17. Garcia K. 35. Jay A. 24. Joan Jordan 15. Martin C. 12. Mourino S. 13. Owono J. (G) 36. Pica A. 21. Rebbach A. 20. Romero L. 19. Stoichkov 9. Villalibre A.	28. Chuki 1. Ferreira A. (G) 35. Juma Bah A. 20. Juric S. 24. Kenedy 14. Latasa J. 34. Maroto M. 4. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 19. Ndiaye A. 8. Perez K. 10. Sanchez I.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Pezzolano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Martinez T. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Sylla M. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', Moro R. 🟨,
61', Blanco A. ↓, Joan Jordan ↑,
61', Conechny T. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
69', Diarra M. 🟨,
72', 1 - 2, Amallah S. (Pen),
74', Martin M. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
74', Sanchez J. ↓, Juma Bah A. ↑,
74', Amallah S. ↓, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↑,
74', Martinez T. ↓, Rebbach A. ↑,
74', Guridi J. ↓, Villalibre A. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Anuar ⚽, Sylla M. (A),
77', Guevara A. ↓, Garcia K. ↑,
78', Sanchez M. 🟨,
81', Tenaglia N. 🟨,
81', Pezzolano P. 🟨,
84', Sylla M. ↓, Latasa J. ↑,
90', Anuar ↓, Juric S. ↑,
90+4', Latasa J. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 3, Garcia K. ⚽, Abqar A. (A),
90+9', Garcia K. 🟨,
90+9', Garcia K. 🟨,
90+11', Abqar A. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 4.

Alavés is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Valladolid has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alavés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alavés is a favorite.

There will not play in Valladolid: Rosa L. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Alavés: Sedlar A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Valladolid: Ozkacar C. (Muscle Injury) Sanchez J. (Muscle Injury) de la Hoz C. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Alavés won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
06.10.24	Deportivo Alavés - Barcelona	0:3 ✺
28.09.24	Getafe - Deportivo Alavés	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés	3:2 ✺
20.09.24	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Espanyol - Deportivo Alavés	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- Real Valladolid
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Leganés - Valladolid	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
05.10.24	Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano	1:2 ✺
27.09.24	Valladolid - Mallorca	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Sevilla - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Valladolid - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
04.01.23	Deportivo Alavés - Valladolid	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
05.02.21	Deportivo Alavés - Valladolid	1:0
25.10.20	Valladolid - Deportivo Alavés	0:2
04.07.20	Valladolid - Deportivo Alavés	1:0
09.11.19	Deportivo Alavés - Valladolid	3:0
19.04.19	Deportivo Alavés - Valladolid	2:2
16.09.18	Valladolid - Deportivo Alavés	0:1

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