Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asunción)

Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect, fubo Sports Network
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	DSports 310
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	DSports 1


	Deportivo Recoleta		Deportivo Cuenca

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.6	Watch
	2.22	3.05	3.25
	2.15	3.03	3.25
	2.33	2.77	3.58	Watch
	2.2	3	3.3
	2.21	3.1	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.29)	2.99 ↓ (3.21)	3.39 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Recoleta
41.6%

Draw
31%

Deportivo Cuenca
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28.8%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

27.8%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Deportivo Recoleta - Deportivo Cuenca Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Recoleta will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ferreira N. (G) 2. Echeguren Zarza F. A. 5. Marotta N. 32. Monzon L. 18. Rios P. 17. Baez W. (C) 38. Franco A. 6. Espinola J. 10. Noguera J. 29. Wlk A. 24. Vidal T.	1. Ferrero F. (G) 25. Lopez A. 28. Boolsen P. 6. Postel S. 18. Piedra M. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 7. Mancinelli L. (C) 30. Maccari M. 8. Vega E. 43. Ordonez J. 11. Rivero G.
Substitutes
20. Canete M. 3. Cardozo L. 7. Dominguez R. 36. Ferreira B. 8. Galeano F. 19. Lopez H. 15. Medina B. 25. Mosquera D. 4. Pereira M. 31. Schupp M. 13. Toledo O. (G) 16. Vera C.	37. Arboleda C. 19. Diaz M. 20. Garcia B. 49. Gonzalez D. 23. Guevara E. 29. Klimowicz M. 9. Leguizamon N. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 21. Morocho S. 2. Mosquera I.
Coaches
Gonzalez J.	Celico J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Piedra M. ↓, Guevara E. ↑,
46', Mancinelli L. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
56', Vidal T. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
56', Noguera J. ↓, Ferreira B. ↑,
57', Rivero G. 🟨,
60', Boolsen P. 🟨,
63', Marotta N. 🟨,
72', Rios P. ↓, Schupp M. ↑,
72', Franco A. ↓, Canete M. ↑,
79', Rivero G. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
79', Ordonez J. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
81', Baez W. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
90+4', Canete M. 🟨,
90+4', Lopez A. ↓, Mosquera I. ↑,

Preview

Recoleta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportivo Cuenca is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recoleta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.04.26	Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Deportivo Recoleta - 2 de Mayo	5:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.26	Santos - Deportivo Recoleta	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.04.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.26	Deportivo Recoleta - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LWTLT
- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.04.26	Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Cuenca	4:1 ✺
22.04.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Orense	1:3 ✺
19.04.26	Manta - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.04.26	San Lorenzo - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.04.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL

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