Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 19

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Macará		Mushuc Runa

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	3.8	Watch
	1.98	3.10	3.40
	2.02	3.15	3.6	Watch
	2.07	3.37	3.95
	2.02	3.32	3.72	Watch
	2.01	3.3	3.75
	2.05	3.24	3.67	Watch
	1.96	3.15	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.06)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	3.7 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Macará
46.3%

Draw
28.7%

Mushuc Runa
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.9%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Macará will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Macará (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez R. (G) 25. Bolanos D. 21. Etchebarne S. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 13. Ayala M. 16. Cazares J. 20. Viera M. 15. Tello M. 10. Miranda M. 87. Klinger J. 9. Posse F.	25. Formento R. (C) 26. Peralta K. 2. Flor F. 50. Cusme J. 33. Hernandez J. 7. Minda T. 5. Davila E. 8. Zambrano A. 28. Perea M. 30. Ibarra R. 9. Carrillo R.
Substitutes
50. Caicedo C. 28. Campana A. I. 77. Chala J. 12. Cuero D. (G) 11. Espinoza T. 5. Estacio J. 22. Ferro L. 4. Jimenez J. 26. Medranda M. 27. Mohor J. 19. Ramos P.	99. Angulo C. 4. Biojo R. 14. Caicedo E. 61. Caicedo J. 12. Carabali F. 19. Corozo B. 18. Gonzalez J. 37. Mancilla Quinones J. L. 52. Merino D. 42. Pabon W. (G)
Coaches
Sanguinetti G.	Velez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Minda T. ⚽, Carrillo R. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Tello M. ⚽, Miranda M. (A),
40', Ayala M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Klinger J. ↓, Campana A. I. ↑,
53', Etchebarne S. 🟨,
56', Davila E. 🟨,
66', Minda T. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
66', Davila E. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
67', Miranda M. ↓, Estacio J. ↑,
67', Ayala M. ↓, Mohor J. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Posse F. ⚽, Viera M. (A),
72', Ibarra R. 🟨,
77', Carrillo R. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
77', Ibarra R. ↓, Angulo C. ↑,
79', Tello M. ↓, Caicedo C. ↑,
85', Posse F. ↓, Ferro L. ↑,
85', Hernandez J. ↓, Biojo R. ↑,
87', Cazares J. 🟨,
90+4', Caicedo E. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 1.

Macará is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Mushuc Runa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mushuc Runa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Macará has had a series of away games.

Macará could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Macará won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Macara	31	16	6	9	43:34	9	54

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Macará - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.8%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Mushuc Runa - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 26.37%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.07.26	Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Macará	0:2 ✺
05.07.26	Deportivo Macará - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
04.06.26	Cuenca Juniors - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.06.26	Leones del Norte - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.05.26	América de Cali - Deportivo Macará	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWWTT
- Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.07.26	Mushuc Runa - Independiente del Valle	1:4 ✺
06.07.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Mushuc Runa	2:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
03.06.26	Gualaceo - Mushuc Runa	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
31.05.26	Mushuc Runa - SD Aucas	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Mushuc Runa - Guayaquil City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.03.26	Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará	0:0
23.08.25	Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa	2:1
03.05.25	Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará	4:3
03.11.24	Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará	2:1
11.05.24	Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa	0:0
04.09.22	Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa	3:0
21.04.22	Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará	0:0

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