Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 34

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Deportivo Maipú		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.5
	2.85	2.9	2.6	Watch
	3	3	2.65
	2.75	3.1	2.45
	2.84	3.18	2.53
	2.95	2.9	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.21)	3.04 ↓ (3.21)	2.55 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maipú
32.6%

Draw
30.7%

Independiente Rivadavia
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.4%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.2%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Maipú's form might have worsened.

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Rivadavia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Maipú, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	53.8%	0%

Deportivo Maipú - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cozzani J. (G) 4. Moyano S. 2. Agorreca N. 6. Gonzales 3. Ferracuti G. 7. Gonzalez S. 8. Montero F. 5. Ramirez R. 11. Manzur A. 10. Sambueza R. 9. Herrera L.	1. Gagliardo M. (G) 4. Abecasis L. 3. Petrasso F. 6. Maidana M. 5. Elordi J. M. 8. Gonzalez M. 7. Romero F. . Tonetto D. 11. Reali M. 10. Arce A. 9. Distaulo A.
Substitutes
19. Almiron E. 13. Coronel F. 16. Egel M. 20. Klusener G. 17. Ozuna E. 15. Paredes L. 12. Rehak G. (G) 18. Veliez A. 14. Viguet M.	18. Aguirre J. 15. Ascacibar J. 14. Flores S. 19. Ilarregui F. 12. Masuero F. (G) 13. Moya S. 20. Ramis V. 17. Sanchez B. 16. Valdez I.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Berti A.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Deportivo Maipú is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

Independiente Rivadavia is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.10.23	Aldosivi - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
02.10.23	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Maipú	2:3 ✺
25.09.23	Deportivo Maipú - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Maipú	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Deportivo Maipú - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TWTLW
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.10.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Villa Dálmine	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Deportivo Madryn - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
22.09.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético de Rafaela	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
10.09.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Brown de Adrogué	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.06.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Maipú	2:1
13.02.22	Deportivo Maipú - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1

Upcoming Matches