Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 32

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Abel Sastre (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)


	Deportivo Madryn		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.1
	2.35	3	3.1	Watch
	2.38	2.86	3.64
	2.2	3	3.25
	2.27	3.1	3.34
	2.3	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.18)	3 ↓ (3.12)	3.26 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Madryn
40.4%

Draw
31%

Independiente Rivadavia
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

29.9%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

30.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Deportivo Madryn - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Independiente R will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Temperini N. (G) 4. Ardiles F. 2. Zules J. 6. Perales V. 3. Perez Godoy L. 7. Crego D. 5. Villarreal M. 8. Nunez C. 11. Nunez C. 10. Sanchez N. 9. Ferreyra B.	1. Gagliardo M. (G) 4. Abecasis L. 2. Petrasso F. 6. Maidana M. 3. Elordi J. M. 8. Ham E. 5. Romero F. 11. Gonzalez M. 7. Ramis V. 9. Arce A. 10. Reali M.
Substitutes
16. Ferro R. 12. Hass J. (G) 19. Lioi A. 14. Magnago B. E. 13. Mansilla M. 17. Moreno A. 20. Necul L. 18. Porto J. 15. Zuliani H.	19. Aguirre J. 20. Distaulo A. 14. Flores S. 12. Masuero F. (G) 13. Moya S. 15. Ortale M. 17. Sanchez B. 16. Tonetto D. 18. Valdez I.
Coaches
Yllana A.	Berti A.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Independiente Rivadavia is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

Recent matches Deportivo Madryn is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Independiente Rivadavia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Deportivo Madryn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Deportivo Madryn will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.09.23	Deportivo Maipú - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Deportivo Madryn - Villa Dálmine	4:0 ✺
10.09.23	Aldosivi - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
03.09.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Deportivo Madryn - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWTTT
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.09.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético de Rafaela	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
10.09.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Brown de Adrogué	0:2 ✺
02.09.23	Quilmes - Independiente Rivadavia	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.05.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Madryn	1:0
12.09.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Madryn	3:0

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