Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio (Itauguá) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lopez D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	17:30	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Recoleta		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	3.70	3.30	1.85	Watch
	3.50	3.20	1.90
	3.55	3.40	1.96	Watch
	3.83	3.21	2.00
	3.36	3.43	2.11	Watch
	4.10	3.30	1.78
	3.74	3.30	2.00	Watch
	3.50	3.20	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↓ (3.95)	3.29 ↓ (3.45)	1.94 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo Recoleta
25%

Draw
27.8%

Cerro Porteño
47.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.3%

26.7%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

23.4%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marsengo A. (G) 2. Echeguren Zarza F. A. 3. Cardozo L. 4. Pereira M. 32. Monzon L. 8. Galeano F. 6. Espinola J. 10. Silva A. (C) 33. Gonzalez A. 30. Charpentier P. 37. Falcon J.	1. Roffo M. (G) 23. Velazquez G. (C) 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 6. Merolla L. 13. Benitez A. G. 16. Ramirez I. 5. Morel J. 18. Gamarra A. 34. Chena C. 19. Vegetti P. 31. Aliseda I.
Substitutes
17. Baez W. 20. Canete M. 12. Ferreira N. (G) 38. Franco A. 19. Lopez H. 5. Marotta N. 15. Medina B. 23. Nunez J. 9. Ortiz R. 11. Parzajuk K. 18. Rios P. 31. Schupp M.	35. Chaparro M. 38. Cristaldo A. 28. Franco C. 30. Gimenez G. 33. Luciatti A. 12. Martinez A. (G) 36. Noguera F. 8. Paredes C. 15. Riveros B. 7. Rodriguez D. 39. Servin L. J. 27. Torres J.
Coaches
Gonzalez J.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, Vegetti P. ⚽, Aliseda I. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Vegetti P. ⚽, Gamarra A. (A),
44', 0 - 3, Ramirez I. ⚽, Chena C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Falcon J. ↓, Rios P. ↑,
46', Silva A. ↓, Baez W. ↑,
46', Velazquez G. ↓, Gimenez G. ↑,
52', 1 - 3, Pereira M. ⚽, Baez W. (A),
57', Baez W. 🟨,
60', Galeano F. ↓, Franco A. ↑,
63', Gamarra A. ↓, Paredes C. ↑,
64', Echeguren Zarza F. A. ↓, Medina B. ↑,
64', Aliseda I. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
67', Cardozo L. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
71', Espinola J. 🟨,
75', Benitez A. G. ↓, Riveros B. ↑,
88', Vegetti P. ↓, Torres J. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 1.

Recoleta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Cerro Porteño has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recoleta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cerro Porteño is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.5:2.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cerro Porteno	16	7	3	6	23:17	6	24
11	Recoleta	16	3	3	10	16:28	-12	12

Last Results with these Odds

Cerro Porteño - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.02%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Olimpia Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
26.08.26	Deportivo Santaní - Deportivo Recoleta	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.08.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Boca Juniors	0:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - 2 de Mayo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
27.08.26	Resistencia - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.08.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
03.05.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño	2:1
01.03.26	Cerro Porteño - Deportivo Recoleta	2:0
03.10.25	Cerro Porteño - Deportivo Recoleta	2:0
26.07.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño	1:3
28.04.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño	1:3
15.02.25	Cerro Porteño - Deportivo Recoleta	2:1
Copa Paraguay
18.09.24	Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño	2:3 penalties

Upcoming Matches