Match Info

Date: 18 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Pride Park (Derby)


	Derby County		Manchester City U21

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.75	3.9
	1.65	4.1	4
	1.71	3.9	3.85
	1.75	4.15	3.97
	1.73	3.5	4
	1.69	3.98	4
	1.71	3.9	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.77)	3.9 ↑ (3.6)	3.94 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Derby County
53.5%

Draw
23.4%

Manchester City U21
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.2%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

25.1%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Manchester City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City U21 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Derby County - Manchester City U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Man City U21 will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Man City U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Derby have a series of home games.

In this match Derby is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County
English League One
15.10.22	Accrington Stanley - Derby County	0:3 ✺
08.10.22	Derby County - Port Vale	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.10.22	Mansfield Town - Derby County	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
01.10.22	Cambridge United - Derby County	0:2 ✺
17.09.22	Derby County - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWW
- Manchester City U21
English Premier League 2
08.10.22	Manchester City U21 - Blackburn Rovers U21	1:3 ✺
02.10.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 - Manchester City U21	1:3 ✺
17.09.22	Manchester City U21 - Fulham U21	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Manchester City U21 - West Ham United U21	4:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Mansfield Town - Manchester City U21	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL

Upcoming Matches