The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County 49.7%
Draw 28.3%
Rotherham United 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.1%
27.3%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.5%
21.4%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
65%
20%
15%
Derby County - Rotherham United Predictions
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 26 - 65%). Rotherham will win (votes: 6 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 50.2% – 79.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
No spectators.
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 23 in the zone Relegation).
Derby has a chance of relegated (23%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Rotherham has a chance of relegated (35%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Derby is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Rotherham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Derby is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Derby won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-1.