Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY

Date: 8 November 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Derby County		Wolverhampton Wanderers U21

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	5.75
	1.4	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.43	4.88	6.11
	1.44	4.88	6.11
	1.4	4.5	5.5
	1.4	4.9	6.15
	1.41	4.7	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)	4.73 ↑ (4.4)	6.02 ↑ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby County
65.2%

Draw
19.5%

Wolverhampton Wanderers U21
15.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.8%

20.4%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

21%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 than the current prediction. (+2%)

Derby County - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Vickers J. (G) 2. Wilson K. 6. Cashin E. 5. Bradley S. (C) 20. Elder C. 26. Robinson D. 22. Fornah T. 42. Fapetu A. 39. Brown D. 9. Collins J. 17. Sibley L.	25. Bentley D. (G) 52. Birtwistle H. 51. Kandola K. 67. Hubner J. (C) 53. Keto-Diyawa A. 47. Farmer O. 50. Rees M. 65. Whittingham M. 30. Gonzalez E. 84. Chiwome L. 45. Barnett T.
Substitutes
48. Allen C. 41. Cox D. 44. Hawkins H. 13. Loach S. (G) 46. Osayande A. 43. Weston T. 45. Wheeldon L.	41. Esen J. 77. Harper F. 49. Kaleta M. 68. Lopes L. 66. McLeod E. 57. Ojinnaka T. 56. Young J. (G)
Coaches
Warne P.	Collins J.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Wolverhampton U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Derby is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Crewe Alexandra - Derby County	2:2 ✺
English League One
31.10.23	Derby County - Northampton Town	4:0 ✺
28.10.23	Stevenage Borough - Derby County	3:1 ✺
24.10.23	Derby County - Exeter City	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Shrewsbury Town - Derby County	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWLWL
- Wolverhampton Wanderers U21
English Premier League 2
03.11.23	Nottingham Forest U21 - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	2:2 ✺
30.10.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 - Southampton U21	2:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
16.10.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 - Jong PSV	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Lincoln City - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	2:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
06.10.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 - Bournemouth U21	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWWLT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County
English League Championship
03.11.26	Derby County - Norwich City	✺
31.10.26	Millwall - Derby County	✺

Derby County - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21