Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Location: The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry)

Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Croatia	MAX Sport 2
Germany	Laola1
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Derry City		Rijeka

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.40	1.85	Watch
	3.90	3.30	1.85
	5.10	3.60	1.64	Watch
	3.67	3.59	1.95
	4.68	3.62	1.74	Watch
	3.50	3.55	1.90
	4.87	3.61	1.79	Watch
	4.10	3.40	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↓ (5.05)	3.51 ↓ (4.05)	1.82 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derry City
22.3%

Draw
26.6%

Rijeka
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

23.2%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rijeka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	12.5%	81.2%

Derry City - Rijeka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Derry (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Derry (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rijeka will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Derry (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maher B. (G) 24. Lyons-Foster B. 23. Dummigan C. 3. McClean P. 19. Fleming B. 28. Olayinka J. 17. Twisk N. 8. O'Reilly A. 14. Chapman E. 7. Duffy M. (C) 27. Boyce L.	99. Todorovic A. (G) 34. Devetak M. 45. Majstorovic A. (C) 10. Fruk T. 22. Orec A. 26. Dantas T. 5. Barco A. 18. Adu Adjei D. 14. Gojak A. 6. Pavic B. 4. Jankovic N.
Substitutes
22. Barr C. 12. Burns D. 15. Clarke J. 2. Cotter B. 32. Doherty T. 13. Norcott T. (G) 6. Slevin R. 4. Stott J.	91. Bodetic N. 8. Cubelic I. 15. Grulovic G. 51. Husic A. 1. Kovac V. (G) 23. Lasickas J. 31. Nwolokor D. (G) 11. Rukavina G. 37. Saho C. 16. Vesligaj V. 19. Vignato S. 3. Zivkovic M.
Coaches
Lynch T.	Kek M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Adu Adjei D. ⚽,
29', Twisk N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Boyce L. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
46', Lyons-Foster B. 🟨,
62', Olayinka J. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
62', Lyons-Foster B. ↓, Cotter B. ↑,
65', Majstorovic A. 🟨,
69', Dummigan C. 🟨,
81', McClean P. ↓, Stott J. ↑,
81', Jankovic N. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
89', Fruk T. ↓, Cubelic I. ↑,
90+2', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Grulovic G. ↑,
90+3', Cotter B. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

Derry has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Derry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rijeka is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Derry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derry City
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Rijeka - Derry City	1:0 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
19.07.26	Derry City - Tolka Rovers	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.07.26	Derry City - CSKA Sofia	1:2 ✺
09.07.26	CSKA Sofia - Derry City	3:2 ✺
Irish Premier Division
03.07.26	Derry City - Waterford	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- HNK Rijeka
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Rijeka - Derry City	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Rijeka - Jadran Dekani	2:0 ✺
03.07.26	Radomlje - Rijeka	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Rijeka	0:3 ✺
Croatian HNL
23.05.26	Rijeka - Gorica	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Rijeka - Derry City	1:0

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