Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion HNK Rijeka (Rijeka)

Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Croatia	MAX Sport 2
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Rijeka		Derry City

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.25	10.00	Watch
	1.20	6.25	11.00
	1.15	7.00	15.00	Watch
	1.23	5.55	17.80
	1.14	7.2	21.49	Watch
	1.21	5.05	17.00
	1.25	6.13	11.10	Watch
	1.21	6.00	12.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.14)	6.05 ↓ (7.04)	14.42 ↓ (19.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rijeka
78%

Draw
15.5%

Derry City
6.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.9%

13.3%

4.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Rijeka - Derry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Derry will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 65% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Derry (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 1 - 50%). Derry (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Todorovic A. (G) 22. Orec A. 45. Majstorovic A. (C) 5. Barco A. 34. Devetak M. 26. Dantas T. 6. Pavic B. 4. Jankovic N. 14. Gojak A. 18. Adu Adjei D. 10. Fruk T.	1. Maher B. (G) 2. Cotter B. 3. McClean P. 4. Stott J. 19. Fleming B. 24. Lyons-Foster B. 17. Twisk N. 28. Olayinka J. 14. Chapman E. 27. Boyce L. 7. Duffy M. (C)
Substitutes
91. Bodetic N. 30. Cletus S. 15. Grulovic G. 51. Husic A. 77. Juric A. 1. Kovac V. (G) 23. Lasickas J. 31. Nwolokor D. (G) 11. Rukavina G. 37. Saho C. 19. Vignato S. 3. Zivkovic M.	22. Barr C. 12. Burns D. 15. Clarke J. 32. Doherty T. 23. Dummigan C. 25. Grogan C. 35. Kelly L. 16. McClean J. 13. Norcott T. (G) 8. O'Reilly A. 6. Slevin R.
Coaches
Kek M.	Lynch T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Orec A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Fruk T. ⚽, Pavic B. (A),
60', Adu Adjei D. 🟨,
62', Boyce L. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
62', Twisk N. ↓, O'Reilly A. ↑,
62', Stott J. ↓, Dummigan C. ↑,
69', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
75', Lyons-Foster B. ↓, Barr C. ↑,
79', Gojak A. ↓, Rukavina G. ↑,
80', Olayinka J. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
90+1', Fruk T. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Derry's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Derry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Derry has had a series of home games.

In this match, Rijeka is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Rijeka
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Rijeka - Jadran Dekani	2:0 ✺
03.07.26	Radomlje - Rijeka	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Rijeka	0:3 ✺
Croatian HNL
23.05.26	Rijeka - Gorica	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Istra 1961 - Rijeka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWT
- Derry City
Irish FAI Cup
19.07.26	Derry City - Tolka Rovers	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.07.26	Derry City - CSKA Sofia	1:2 ✺
09.07.26	CSKA Sofia - Derry City	3:2 ✺
Irish Premier Division
03.07.26	Derry City - Waterford	2:4 ✺
26.06.26	Derry City - Drogheda United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLW

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