Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/128-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Engenheiro Alencar Araripe (Cariacica) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	19:00	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Desportiva Ferroviaria		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.7	1.53
	5.41	3.64	1.58
	6.49	3.51	1.56	Watch
	5.5	3.4	1.62
	5.53	3.64	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.64 ↑ (4.99)	3.58 ↑ (3.42)	1.58 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desportiva Ferroviaria
16.3%

Draw
25.7%

Sport Recife
58%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.3%

26.7%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

26.2%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desportiva Ferroviaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportiva Ferroviaria than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-2%)

Desportiva Ferroviaria - Sport Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Tiago Moura (Penalty Awarded),
1, Iury Castilho (Penalty Awarded),
2, Bahia (Penalty Awarded),
2, Ze Roberto (Penalty Awarded),
3, Teixeira G. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Clayson (Penalty Awarded),
4, Jorge Mendes (Penalty Awarded),
4, Chrystian Barletta (Penalty Awarded),
5, Vinicius Leandro (Penalty Awarded),
5, Felipinho (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Ferroviaria has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Recife is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Recife is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportiva Ferroviaria
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
27.02.26	Vilavelhense - Desportiva Ferroviaria	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Vilavelhense	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.02.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Desportiva Ferroviaria	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
12.02.26	Forte Rio Bananal - Desportiva Ferroviaria	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Capixaba SC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTWWL
- Sport Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
01.03.26	Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe	3:3 ✺
21.02.26	Sport Recife - Retrô Brasil	3:2 ✺
12.02.26	Retrô Brasil - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Sport Recife - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Maguary - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
31.10.26	Botafogo SP - Sport Recife	✺

Desportiva Ferroviaria - Sport Recife