Match Info

Capixaba - Round 9

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal Almiro Ofranti (Vargem Alta)


	Forte Rio Bananal		Desportiva Ferroviaria

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.88	2.18
	3.42	2.88	2.09
	3.45	2.95	2.16	Watch
	3.5	2.7	2.15
	3.54	2.86	2.13
	3.5	2.9	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.26)	2.86 ↓ (2.96)	2.14 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forte Rio Bananal
26.2%

Draw
31.6%

Desportiva Ferroviaria
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

30.9%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

30.6%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forte Rio Bananal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Desportiva Ferroviaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forte Rio Bananal than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desportiva Ferroviaria than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Forte Rio Bananal - Desportiva Ferroviaria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barto (G) 3. Breno Mariano . Bruninho 8. Darlan 2. Gabriel Mistura 11. Marcelinho Araxa 7. Matheus Arcado 4. Nicolas 9. Rael 6. Riquelme 10. Valdeir	32. Pedro Zanette (G) 23. Bahia 2. Jairo 14. Jorge Mendes 9. Kieza 13. Mariano 5. Ruan 20. Tiago Moura 4. Vinicius Leandro 18. Wesley Dias 6. Wilian Simoes
Substitutes
. Allanzinho . da Silva B. 12. Felipe (G) . Goncalves I. 17. Iago Nogueira 13. Kauhan 16. Marcos Vinicius . Pietro Micenio . Radnyzt . Ryan Daudt 18. Saimon 25. Victor Biancardi (G)	25. Cunha V. M. 10. Davi 16. Jhonatan Marino . Kevin 17. Lucas Tavares 8. Parmanhani K. 1. Rafael Mallmann (G) 7. Rodriguinho 11. Yan de Jesus

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ferroviaria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ferroviaria could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forte Rio Bananal
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
07.02.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Forte Rio Bananal	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	Forte Rio Bananal - Vitória ES	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Vilavelhense - Forte Rio Bananal	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Forte Rio Bananal - Serra	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Rio Branco-VN - Forte Rio Bananal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TTTWT
- Desportiva Ferroviaria
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
08.02.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Capixaba SC	0:1 ✺
05.02.26	Noroeste - Desportiva Ferroviaria	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Porto Vitória	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco AC ES	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Vitória ES - Desportiva Ferroviaria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTTW

Forte Rio Bananal - Desportiva Ferroviaria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide