The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Doncaster Rovers 61.3%
Draw 22.9%
Carlisle United 15.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.8%
24.6%
17.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.5%
23.5%
16.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.2%
0%
15.8%
Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Doncaster Rovers will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
19. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 2. Sterry J. 4. Anderson T. 6. Wood R. 23. Senior J. 17. Bailey O. 8. Broadbent G. 7. Molyneux L. 10. Sbarra J. 11. Gibson J. 9. Street R.
13. Breeze G. (G) 2. Davies A. 5. Lavelle S. 4. Thomas T. 3. Harper C. 16. Vela J. 43. Whelan C. 40. Harris K. 39. Wearne S. 37. Bevan J. 19. Dennis M.
Substitutes
15. Clifton H. 18. Ennis E. 22. Kelly P. 1. Lawlor I. (G) 16. Nixon T. 14. Sharp B. 24. Westbrooke Z.
44. Embleton E. 45. Fusire S. 8. Guy C. 17. Hugill J. 9. Kelly G. 1. Lewis H. (G) 22. McArthur C.
Coaches
McCann G.
Hughes M
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Broadbent G. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Bailey O. ⚽, Gibson J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', Wearne S. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
63', Dennis M. ↓, Fusire S. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Gibson J. ⚽, Molyneux L. (A),
69', Sterry J. 🟨,
72', Street R. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
72', Sbarra J. ↓, Clifton H. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Clifton H. ⚽, Bailey O. (A),
74', Vela J. ↓, Embleton E. ↑,
77', Molyneux L. ↓, Ennis E. ↑,
78', Wood R. ↓, Kelly P. ↑,
80', Bevan J. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
82', Sterry J. ↓, Nixon T. ↑,
88', Harper C. ↓, McArthur C. ↑,
88', Broadbent G. ↓, Westbrooke Z. ↑,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 2.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Doncaster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Carlisle have a series of home games.
In this match Doncaster is a favorite.
There will not play in Carlisle: Barclay B.
(Inactive)
Dummett P.
(Hamstring Injury)
McGeouch D.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Injury)
Wyke Ch.
(Broken ankle)
There are questionable in Doncaster: Maxwell J.
(Inactive)
McGrath J.
(Inactive)
Olowu J.
(Inactive)
Sterry J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Carlisle: Hugill J.
(Inactive)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.3:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Doncaster won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).
Watch
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Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 
Lavelle S. 
Thomas T. 
Clifton H. 
Kelly P. 
Lawlor I. (G) 
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