The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Doncaster Rovers 14.9%
Draw 21.2%
Sunderland 63.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.3%
24.4%
58.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.6%
14.8%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sunderland's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Doncaster Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-28.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sunderland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.8%
24.1%
62.1%
Doncaster Rovers - Sunderland Predictions
Users Predictions:
58 users predict this event. Doncaster will win (votes: 8 - 13.8%). Sunderland will win (votes: 36 - 62.1%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 24.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 49.6% – 74.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs)).
Doncaster has the most likely position - 24 (31.51%), has project points - 39, has currently - 16, has a good chance of relegated (77%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sunderland has the most likely position - 2 (17.75%), has project points - 85, has currently - 43, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), has a chance of promoted (45%), has a chance of win league (16%).
Doncaster is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Sunderland is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Doncaster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Sunderland is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Doncaster won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.