Match Info

Date: 7 December 2021, Tuesday


	Sunderland		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7
	1.46	4.4	6.5
	1.45	4.8	6.5
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.44	4.79	7.49
	1.4	4.4	7.5
	1.44	4.9	7.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	4.68 ↑ (4.52)	7.13 ↑ (6.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
66.4%

Draw
20.2%

Morecambe
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

20.8%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

12.3%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-28.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sunderland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morecambe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sunderland - Morecambe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 20).

Sunderland has the most likely position - 3 (12.97%), has project points - 81, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (44%), has a chance of promoted (35%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

Morecambe has the most likely position - 22 (12.34%), has project points - 48, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (41%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Morecambe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sunderland is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League One
04.12.21	Sunderland - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
01.12.21	Sunderland - Oldham Athletic	0:1 ✺
English League One
27.11.21	Cambridge United - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
23.11.21	Shrewsbury Town - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
20.11.21	Sunderland - Ipswich Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWTW
- Morecambe
English FA Cup
04.12.21	Buxton - Morecambe	0:1 ✺
English League One
27.11.21	Morecambe - Milton Keynes Dons	0:4 ✺
23.11.21	Morecambe - Charlton Athletic	2:2 ✺
20.11.21	Fleetwood Town - Morecambe	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
09.11.21	Morecambe - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
13.11.18	Morecambe - Sunderland	0:1
English League Cup
28.08.12	Sunderland - Morecambe	2:0

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