The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sunderland 77.9%
Draw 14.8%
Plymouth Argyle 7.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.8%
18.9%
10.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.6%
18.7%
10.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sunderland's performance.
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sunderland that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.9%
10.5%
10.5%
Sunderland - Plymouth Argyle Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Plymouth will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 58.6% – 97%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 26. Mepham C. 13. O'Nien L. 3. Cirkin D. 4. Neil D. (C) 20. Abdul Samed S. 10. Roberts P. 7. Bellingham J. 18. Isidor W. 28. Le Fee E.
21. Hazard C. (G) 2. Mumba B. 5. Pleguezuelo J. 44. Palsson V. 17. Puchacz T. 20. Randell A. (C) 4. Houghton J. 29. Sorinola M. 11. Wright C. 15. Bundu M. 9. Hardie R.
Substitutes
30. Aleksic M. 22. Aouchiche A. 5. Ballard D. 33. Hjelde L. F. 50. Jones H. 12. Mayenda E. 21. Moore S. (G) 36. Poveda I. 11. Rigg C.
28. Al Hajj R. 30. Baidoo M. 7. Cissoko I. 31. Grimshaw D. (G) 18. Gyabi D. 35. Issaka F. 3. Ogbeta N. 34. Roberts C. 26. Tijani M.
Coaches
Le Bris R.
Muslic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Pleguezuelo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', Bundu M. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Patterson A. (Own goal),
60', 1 - 1, Isidor W. ⚽, Hume T. (A),
61', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Mayenda E. ↑,
66', Hardie R. ↓, Baidoo M. ↑,
72', Isidor W. 🟨,
72', Sorinola M. 🟨,
73', 2 - 1, Hume T. ⚽,
76', Cirkin D. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
76', Roberts P. ↓, Rigg C. ↑,
78', Bundu M. ↓, Ogbeta N. ↑,
78', Pleguezuelo J. ↓, Gyabi D. ↑,
78', Houghton J. ↓, Tijani M. ↑,
78', Wright C. ↓, Al Hajj R. ↑,
80', Gyabi D. 🟨,
88', Isidor W. ↓, Aleksic M. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Ogbeta N. ⚽, Gyabi D. (A),
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 2.
Sunderland is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Plymouth is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sunderland could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Sunderland is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A.
(Surgery)
Browne A.
(Broken Leg)
Huggins N.
(Knee Injury)
Mundle R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Watson T.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Plymouth: Edwards J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Galloway B.
(Hip Injury)
Hazard C.
(Knock)
Szucs K.
(Muscle Injury)
Tijani M.
(Leg Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.7:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2:1).
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Patterson A. (G) 
Hume T. 
Mepham C. 
Abdul Samed S. 
Isidor W. 
Pleguezuelo J. 
Palsson V. 
Puchacz T. 
Bundu M. 
Hardie R. 
Aleksic M. 
Hjelde L. F. 
Poveda I. 
Al Hajj R. 
Cissoko I. 
Tijani M. 
Muslic M. 
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