Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Dorados (Culiacán)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports
Usa	Aym Sports


	Dorados		Alebrijes de Oaxaca

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3.5	3.1
	2.17	3.78	3.15
	2.01	3.77	3.33	Watch
	2.14	3.59	3.09	Watch
	1.92	3.55	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.95)	3.64 (3.64)	3.22 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dorados
45.3%

Draw
25.7%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

25.4%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

21.8%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Dorados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Alebrijes de Oaxaca (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alebrijes de Oaxaca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Barrera G. (G) 10. Bonilla E. 8. Cortes J. 5. Flores A. 15. Galicia C. 3. Manriquez S. 24. Ramirez A. 9. Rengifo J. 4. Ruiz L. 27. Sanchez E. (C) 19. Vazquez D.	35. Gonzalez Arriaga O. A. (G) 4. Alvarez K. (C) 177. Bustos J. 10. Carballo E. 1. Cruz J. 15. Lopez E. 11. Mascorro H. 29. Meza S. 8. Morales F. 5. Vazquez Garza H. A. 14. Vazquez Hernandez A.
Substitutes
35. Acurio J. 7. Alvarez J. 20. Araujo D. 12. Egana A. 18. Higuera C. (G) 17. Leyva C. 16. Martinez D. 33. Parra R. 14. Sol M. 2. Yanez S.	25. Andrey Marcos 132. Ascencio E. 175. Gallinar S. 3. Justo A. 20. Mendoza Cendejas E. J. 17. Nunez D. 33. Olaguez E. 19. Pineda D. 171. Ramirez L. A. (G) 24. Rojas D.
Coaches
Saucedo C.	Alvarado A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Bustos J. 🟨,
19', Cortes J. 🟨,
22', Rengifo J. 🟨,
36', Manriquez S. 🟨,
42', Lopez E. 🟨,
44', Rengifo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Bonilla E. ↓, Yanez S. ↑,
46', Sanchez E. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
54', Lopez E. ↓, Olaguez E. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Martinez D. ⚽, Vazquez D. (A),
68', Bustos J. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
68', Mascorro H. ↓, Andrey Marcos ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Cruz J. (Pen),
73', 1 - 2, Andrey Marcos ⚽, Cruz J. (A),
80', Ramirez A. ↓, Egana A. ↑,
85', Andrey Marcos 🟨,
87', Cruz J. ↓, Gallinar S. ↑,
88', Cortes J. ↓, Leyva C. ↑,
90+2', Manriquez S. 🟥,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 1.

Dorados is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alebrijes de Oaxaca is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Alebrijes de Oaxaca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dorados is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorados won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorados de Sinaloa
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
13.09.25	Atlético Morelia - Dorados	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Dorados - Irapuato	0:1 ✺
29.08.25	Atlético La Paz - Dorados	3:1 ✺
22.08.25	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Dorados	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Dorados - Venados	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
13.09.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlante	0:3 ✺
06.09.25	Tlaxcala - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Venados	4:5 ✺
23.08.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:2 ✺
15.08.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Cancún	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
19.04.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	2:2
02.11.24	Dorados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:0
02.04.24	Dorados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:3
27.09.23	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	4:0
25.01.23	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	3:0
11.10.22	Dorados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:0
26.03.22	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	5:1

Upcoming Matches