Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 26

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: AFAS Trainingscomplex (Wijdewormer) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	20:00	Canal+


	Jong AZ Alkmaar		Dordrecht

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.6	2.5	Watch
	2.48	3.7	2.52	Watch
	2.54	3.81	2.58
	2.49	3.83	2.49	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.5
	2.43	3.64	2.55	Watch
	2.33	3.75	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.1)	3.69 ↓ (4.04)	2.53 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong AZ Alkmaar
37.9%

Draw
25.3%

Dordrecht
36.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.5%

23.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

22.8%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong AZ Alkmaar's form might have worsened.

Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	21.4%	57.1%

Jong AZ Alkmaar - Dordrecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 31.2% – 83%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Dordrecht (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dordrecht will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schipper J. (G) 2. Dijkstra E. 3. Natali A. 4. Dekker M. 5. van Duijl B. (C) 6. Robbemond R. 8. Budko B. 7. Oufkir A. 10. Oerip J. 11. Bouziane W. 9. van den Ban Y.	63. Biai C. (G) 3. Valk S. (C) 15. M'Bemba Y. 25. Plug J. 20. Yoon D. 16. Bae S. 8. Sunderland L. 28. Codutti L. 22. Darelas A. 59. de Bie J. 9. Carrillo S.
Substitutes
21. Andersen F. E. 15. Hartog J. 19. Kovacs B. 20. Mastoras E. 22. Menu M. 14. Oud J. 23. Schilder K. (G) 18. Smits A. 17. van der Klaauw D. 16. Zeggen K. (G) 12. Zwart J.	11. Afaker M. 13. Artic T. (G) 77. Bischof N. 24. Huitzing G. 14. Pynadath J. 29. Rossi N. 2. van Aken J. 18. van Asten R. 6. van Vianen D. 7. Venema N. 21. Vetkal M. 23. Woudenberg L.
Coaches
Peereboom F.	Kuyt D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Yoon D. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Darelas A. ⚽, Bae S. (A),
35', Dekker M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Oerip J. ↓, Hartog J. ↑,
46', Dekker M. ↓, Zwart J. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, van den Ban Y. ⚽, Bouziane W. (A),
62', 1 - 2, Schipper J. (Own goal),
63', Bae S. ↓, Vetkal M. ↑,
63', de Bie J. ↓, Venema N. ↑,
63', Budko B. ↓, Mastoras E. ↑,
71', Yoon D. ↓, van Aken J. ↑,
77', van den Ban Y. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
84', Sunderland L. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
84', Carrillo S. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
84', Oufkir A. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 2.

Jong AZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dordrecht is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jong AZ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Jong AZ: Kasius D. (Injury)

There will not play in Dordrecht: Bischof N. (Ankle Injury) van Vianen D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Dordrecht: Hardley B. (Injury) Malasomma M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.6:0.9).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Jong AZ	12	5	2	5	31:26	5	17
18	Dordrecht	12	3	2	7	16:31	-15	11

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Dordrecht: 0.39%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.01.26	ADO Den Haag - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:4 ✺
26.01.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City	3:4 ✺
16.01.26	VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:3 ✺
12.01.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax	1:2 ✺
19.12.25	FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WLWLL
- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.02.26	Dordrecht - Helmond Sport	3:0 ✺
30.01.26	Vitesse - Dordrecht	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Dordrecht - Den Bosch	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Waalwijk - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
19.12.25	VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.09.25	Dordrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:1
17.01.25	Dordrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:1
26.08.24	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Dordrecht	3:1
22.01.24	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Dordrecht	5:1
22.09.23	Dordrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:0
21.04.23	Dordrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:0
05.09.22	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Dordrecht	3:1

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