Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 24

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday

Location: East End Park (Dunfermline)


	Dunfermline Athletic		Montrose

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	4.75
	1.58	3.75	4.6
	1.61	3.65	4.9
	1.7	3.6	4.1
	1.55	4.14	5.87
	1.57	3.7	5.25
	1.52	4.15	5.7	Watch
	1.58	3.85	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.76)	3.83 ↑ (3.45)	5 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunfermline Athletic
57.7%

Draw
23.9%

Montrose
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

26.2%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

26.1%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dunfermline Athletic's performance.

Montrose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dunfermline Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Dunfermline Athletic - Montrose Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dunfermline will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Montrose will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Dunfermline could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Dunfermline have a series of guest games.

In this match Dunfermline is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dunfermline won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Dunfermline won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish League One
28.01.23	Clyde - Dunfermline Athletic	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
24.01.23	Dundee - Dunfermline Athletic	4:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
21.01.23	Partick Thistle - Dunfermline Athletic	2:1 penalties ✺
Scottish League One
14.01.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Peterhead	4:0 ✺
07.01.23	Edinburgh City - Dunfermline Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLWW
- Montrose FC
Scottish League One
28.01.23	Montrose - Kelty Hearts	3:3 ✺
14.01.23	Montrose - Queen of the South	1:0 ✺
07.01.23	Falkirk - Montrose	2:1 ✺
02.01.23	Peterhead - Montrose	0:0 ✺
23.12.22	Montrose - Airdrieonians	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
22.10.22	Montrose - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0
13.08.22	Dunfermline Athletic - Montrose	1:0
Club Friendly
02.07.18	Montrose - Dunfermline Athletic	N/A
Scottish League Cup
28.08.12	Dunfermline Athletic - Montrose	3:0

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