Match Info

SCOTLAND: Scottish Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: East End Park (Dunfermline)


	Dunfermline Athletic		Stenhousemuir

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	5.5
	1.55	3.8	5
	1.52	4	6
	1.56	3.99	5.77	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.62	3.85	5.31
	1.52	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.51)	3.89 ↑ (3.75)	5.58 ↓ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunfermline Athletic
59.8%

Draw
23.7%

Stenhousemuir
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

24%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

22.9%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunfermline Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Stenhousemuir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Dunfermline Athletic - Stenhousemuir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Oluwayemi T. (G) 2. Comrie A. 16. Fogarty T. 4. Benedictus K. (C) 6. Otoo E. 7. Ritchie-Hosler K. 5. Hamilton C. 19. Wotherspoon D. 8. Chalmers J. 11. McCann L. 20. Kane Ch.	1. Jamieson D. (G) 2. Meechan R. 15. Banner K. 4. Buchanan G. (C) 14. Bilham K. 24. Alston B. 6. Wedderburn N. 17. Anderson M. 20. Jacobs Ky. 7. O'Reilly E. 10. Yates M.
Substitutes
18. Briggs L. 22. Clay C. 33. Cooper J. 62. Mebude D. 23. O'Halloran M. 24. Sutherland T. 9. Wighton C. 25. Young S.	16. Aitken D. 19. Black B. 21. Ewen K. 34. Lyle C. (G) 23. McGill S. 18. O'Donnell C. 12. Taylor R. 11. Tomlinson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Hamilton C. ⚽,
19', Jacobs Ky. 🟨,
35', Yates M. 🟨,
35', Wotherspoon D. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Otoo E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 3 - 0, McCann L. ⚽, Ritchie-Hosler K. (A),
58', Jacobs Ky. ↓, McGill S. ↑,
58', Wedderburn N. ↓, Black B. ↑,
64', Wotherspoon D. ↓, Cooper J. ↑,
64', Kane Ch. ↓, Wighton C. ↑,
64', Alston B. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
79', Ritchie-Hosler K. ↓, Mebude D. ↑,
79', McCann L. ↓, O'Halloran M. ↑,
80', O'Reilly E. ↓, Ewen K. ↑,
80', Meechan R. ↓, Ewen K. ↑,
81', Bilham K. 🟨,
87', Black B. 🟨,
90+1', Anderson M. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dunfermline won 5.

Dunfermline is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stenhousemuir is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Dunfermline is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Dunfermline won 11 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 34:11 (average 2.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Dunfermline won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18:5 (average 2.6:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Football Championship
14.01.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United	0:2 ✺
04.01.25	Partick Thistle - Dunfermline Athletic	1:4 ✺
27.12.24	Dunfermline Athletic - Falkirk	3:3 ✺
21.12.24	Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Raith Rovers - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWTLL
- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League One
11.01.25	Kelty Hearts - Stenhousemuir	0:0 ✺
04.01.25	Stenhousemuir - Annan Athletic	1:1 ✺
28.12.24	Alloa Athletic - Stenhousemuir	1:3 ✺
21.12.24	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Queen of the South - Stenhousemuir	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
24.07.21	Dunfermline Athletic - Stenhousemuir	4:1
Scottish League One
05.03.16	Dunfermline Athletic - Stenhousemuir	5:0
06.02.16	Stenhousemuir - Dunfermline Athletic	0:3
19.12.15	Dunfermline Athletic - Stenhousemuir	1:0
19.09.15	Stenhousemuir - Dunfermline Athletic	0:5
21.03.15	Stenhousemuir - Dunfermline Athletic	0:1
14.02.15	Dunfermline Athletic - Stenhousemuir	3:2

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