Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday


	Dunkerque		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.9	2.5	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.55
	3.2	2.75	2.52	Watch
	3	2.8	2.5
	3.3	2.88	2.61
	3	2.9	2.5
	3.08	2.91	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (3.03)	2.85 ↓ (2.93)	2.54 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
30.5%

Draw
32.8%

Le Havre
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

31.9%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

21.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dunkerque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Le Havre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dunkerque - Le Havre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion)).

Dunkerque has the most likely position - 19 (12.26%), has project points - 41, has currently - 13, has a chance of relegated (29%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 3 (11.37%), has project points - 60, has currently - 24, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Dunkerque is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Le Havre in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Dunkerque won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
23.10.21	Dunkerque - Caen	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Valenciennes - Dunkerque	1:3 ✺
02.10.21	Dunkerque - Bastia	2:0 ✺
24.09.21	Pau - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
21.09.21	Dunkerque - Toulouse	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 TWWWL
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
23.10.21	Le Havre - Pau	1:0 ✺
16.10.21	Caen - Le Havre	2:2 ✺
02.10.21	Le Havre - Dijon	2:0 ✺
24.09.21	Nîmes - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
21.09.21	Le Havre - Quevilly	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
20.02.21	Le Havre - Dunkerque	1:1
24.10.20	Dunkerque - Le Havre	0:1
Coupe De France
15.11.19	Le Havre - Dunkerque	1:3

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