Match Info

National League - Round 40

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Ebbsfleet United		Altrincham

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.9	1.65
	4.1	3.75	1.63
	4.7	4	1.65
	4.87	4.04	1.63	Watch
	4.93	4	1.59
	4.7	4	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↓ (4.99)	3.95 ↑ (3.93)	1.63 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
19.8%

Draw
23.5%

Altrincham
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

23.8%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

22.8%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Ebbsfleet United - Altrincham Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ebbsfleet will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Altrincham will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cousins M. (G) 27. Bolger A. 22. Chapman B. 28. Cosgrave A. 16. Domi F. 17. Edser T. 36. Manktelow M. 11. Moncur G. 24. Olagunju M. 2. O'Neil L. 33. Stewart A.	21. Ansen C. (G) 11. Amaluzor J. 4. Baines L. (C) 2. Banks L. 22. Crawford T. 23. Golden T. 14. Kosylo M. 9. Linney R. 8. Marriott I. 10. Newby A. 31. Olson C.
Substitutes
35. Anthony E. 37. Aoraha A. 9. Bingham R. 18. Carr R. 32. Goddard F. (G) 14. Poleon D.	5. Cooper J. 77. Dolan C. 6. Osborne E. 42. Penney M. 20. Reddin K. 17. Weaver L. 19. Wilson G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Linney R. (Pen),
31', Amaluzor J. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Cosgrave A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Stewart A. ↓, Cundle G. ↑,
66', Crawford T. 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Olagunju M. ⚽,
69', Marriott I. ↓, Wilson G. ↑,
69', Kosylo M. ↓, Dolan C. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Amaluzor J. ⚽,
80', Moncur G. ↓, Carr R. ↑,
80', Linney R. ↓, Weaver L. ↑,
81', Olson C. 🟨,
84', Newby A. ↓, Reddin K. ↑,
85', Domi F. ↓, Poleon D. ↑,
85', Cosgrave A. ↓, Bingham R. ↑,
88', Golden T. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Ebbsfleet is Relegated to

Ebbsfleet is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Altrincham has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Altrincham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Altrincham have a series of home games.

In this match Altrincham is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:12 (average 0.3:4).

Including matches at home between the teams Ebbsfleet won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League
22.03.25	Aldershot Town - Ebbsfleet United	3:3 ✺
15.03.25	Ebbsfleet United - Fylde	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Solihull Moors - Ebbsfleet United	2:1 ✺
04.03.25	Eastleigh - Ebbsfleet United	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Ebbsfleet United - Tamworth	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWLLL
- Altrincham
English National League
25.03.25	Altrincham - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Altrincham - Barnet	0:1 ✺
18.03.25	Altrincham - Wealdstone	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Altrincham - Aldershot Town	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	Rochdale - Altrincham	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
07.09.24	Altrincham - Ebbsfleet United	4:0
13.04.24	Ebbsfleet United - Altrincham	0:2
23.09.23	Altrincham - Ebbsfleet United	6:1

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