Match Info

LaLiga - Round 33

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Diaz I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	19:00	SuperSport 2
Andorra	19:00	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	19:00	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	19:00	DAZN 1
Brazil	14:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	20:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	13:00	TSN+
Chile	13:00	Disney+
China	01:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	19:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	19:00	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	19:00	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Sport Open Baltic
Finland	20:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	21:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	19:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	20:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	01:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	19:00	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	22:30	GXR World
Indonesia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, RCTI+, Vidio
Italy	19:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	23:00	Setanta Sports
Kenya	20:00	Gotv
Kosovo	19:00	K Sport 3
Laos	00:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	22:00	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	19:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	11:00	Sky Sport
Netherlands	19:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	18:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North Macedonia	19:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	19:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	12:00	Disney+
Philippines	01:00	beIN Connect
Poland	19:00	CANAL+ Sport 3
Portugal	18:00	DAZN 1
Romania	20:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	19:00	Arena Sport 5
Singapore	01:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	19:00	Voyo
Slovenia	19:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	19:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	02:00	Coupang Play
Spain	19:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	19:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	19:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	01:00	DAZN
Thailand	00:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	20:00	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	20:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	18:00	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	13:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:00	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
International	17:00	Disney+


	Athletic Bilbao		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	1.38	5	7.5	Watch
	1.37	5	8.25
	1.38	5	9	Watch
	1.38	5.01	8.8
	1.41	4.68	8.87	Watch
	1.36	4.8	8.5
	1.42	5.13	7.7	Watch
	1.38	5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.31)	4.95 ↓ (5.7)	8.45 ↓ (10.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao
69.3%

Draw
19.4%

Las Palmas
11.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73.7%

16.9%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.5%	14.3%	12.2%

Athletic Bilbao - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 34 - 72.3%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 6 - 12.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 59.5% – 85.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Las Palmas (3.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Las Palmas (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Athletic (2.08) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Athletic Bilbao will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Las Palmas (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simon U. (C) 18. de Marcos O. 3. Vivian D. 5. Alvarez Y. 17. Berchiche Y. 23. Jauregizar M. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 9. Williams I. 8. Sancet O. 7. Berenguer A. 21. Sannadi M.	13. Horkas D. (G) 18. Viti 4. Alex Suarez (C) 15. McKenna S. 3. Marmol M. 2. Marvin 21. Bajcetic S. 29. Essugo D. 10. Moleiro A. 19. Ramirez S. 16. McBurnie O.
Substitutes
13. Agirrezabala J. (G) 32. Boiro A. 28. Canales P. 11. Djalo A. 2. Gorosabel A. 12. Guruzeta G. 15. Lekue I. 14. Nunez U. 4. Paredes A. 24. Prados Diaz B. 6. Vesga M. 10. Williams N.	8. Campana J. 9. Cardona M. 14. Fuster M. 28. Herzog J. 24. Januzaj A. 30. Killane A. (G) 12. Loiodice E. 17. Mata J. 35. Mora I. (G) 23. Munoz A. 6. Pelmard A.
Coaches
Valverde E.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Williams I. ⚽, Ruiz de Galarreta I. (A),
11', Berchiche Y. 🟨,
21', Sancet O. ↓, Canales P. ↑,
27', Bajcetic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', McBurnie O. 🟨,
65', Ramirez S. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
65', McBurnie O. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
65', Berenguer A. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
73', Marvin ↓, Januzaj A. ↑,
76', Alex Suarez 🟨,
84', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Prados Diaz B. ↑,
84', Sannadi M. ↓, Guruzeta G. ↑,
84', Alex Suarez ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
85', Bajcetic S. ↓, Campana J. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletic won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Las Palmas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Athletic is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Cillessen J. (Health problems) Javier Munoz (Yellow Cards) Ramirez B. (Injury) Rodriguez K. (Health problems) Silva F. (Muscle Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Athletic won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Athletic won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
20.04.25	Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.04.25	Athletic Bilbao - Glasgow Rangers	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.04.25	Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.04.25	Glasgow Rangers - Athletic Bilbao	0:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
06.04.25	Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWTT
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
19.04.25	Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Getafe - Las Palmas	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad	1:3 ✺
31.03.25	Celta de Vigo - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	Las Palmas - Deportivo Alavés	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
15.09.24	Las Palmas - Athletic Bilbao	2:3
10.03.24	Las Palmas - Athletic Bilbao	0:2
20.12.23	Athletic Bilbao - Las Palmas	1:0
09.02.18	Athletic Bilbao - Las Palmas	0:0
17.09.17	Las Palmas - Athletic Bilbao	1:0
14.04.17	Athletic Bilbao - Las Palmas	5:1
28.11.16	Las Palmas - Athletic Bilbao	3:1

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