Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Racing Santander		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	8.5	7	1.19	Watch
	10.5	8.3	1.19
	11.15	7.94	1.20	Watch
	11	7	1.2	Watch
	13.9	8.3	1.21
	9.5	7	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.76 ↑ (8.65)	7.59 ↑ (5.81)	1.2 ↓ (1.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
8.8%

Draw
12.5%

Barcelona
78.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.6%

15.8%

73.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	4.2%	75%

Racing Santander - Barcelona Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Barcelona will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 56% – 91.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Barcelona (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Barcelona (1.42) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +2.5 - Racing (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +3 - Racing (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Barcelona (votes: 8 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ezkieta J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. 5. Castro J. 4. Manu 3. Garcia M. 20. Camara S. 8. Aldasoro A. 14. Gueye M. 6. Sainz-Maza I. (C) 9. Arana J. 7. Guliashvili G.	13. Garcia J. (G) 23. Kounde J. 5. Cubarsi P. 18. Martin G. 3. Balde A. 17. Casado M. 22. Bernal M. 20. Olmo D. 10. Lamine Yamal 7. Torres F. (C) 14. Rashford M.
Substitutes
18. Canales P. 35. Gomez Rodriguez L. (G) 27. Lozano M. 11. Martin A. 19. Puerta G. 21. Ramon P. 23. Rodriguez D. 32. Salinas J. 15. Sangalli M. 36. Sergio M. 10. Vicente I.	4. Araujo R. 19. Bardghji R. 2. Cancelo J. 16. Fermín 24. Garcia E. 9. Lewandowski R. 43. Marques T. 8. Pedri 11. Raphinha 25. Szczesny W. (G) 1. ter Stegen M. (G)
Coaches
Lopez J.	Flick H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Garcia M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Arana J. ↓, Lozano M. ↑,
59', Bernal M. ↓, Fermín ↑,
60', Aldasoro A. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
60', Guliashvili G. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Torres F. ⚽, Fermín (A),
67', Rashford M. ↓, Raphinha ↑,
68', Torres F. ↓, Lewandowski R. ↑,
68', Olmo D. ↓, Pedri ↑,
71', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
72', Garcia M. ↓, Vicente I. ↑,
73', Fermín 🟨,
78', Sainz-Maza I. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
84', Vicente I. 🟨,
85', Casado M. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
89', Sangalli M. 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 2, Lamine Yamal ⚽, Raphinha (A),

Preview

Racing has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barcelona is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barcelona is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Racing won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Including home match between the teams, Racing won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of Spanish Copa del Rey for now

Barcelona: 23.09% Racing Santander: 1.04%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
10.01.26	Racing Santander - Zaragoza	2:3 ✺
03.01.26	Valladolid - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Huesca - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Racing Santander - Villarreal	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.25	Racing Santander - Leganés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTTWT
- FC Barcelona
Spanish Supercopa
11.01.26	Barcelona - Real Madrid	3:2 ✺
07.01.26	Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao	5:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.26	Espanyol - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Villarreal - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
11.03.12	Racing Santander - Barcelona	0:2

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