Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt)

Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eintracht Frankfurt		Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.1	4.33	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.7
	1.75	4	4.5	Watch
	1.73	4.12	4.59
	1.93	3.79	3.73	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.8
	1.84	4.1	4.38
	1.75	4.05	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.95)	3.93 ↑ (3.71)	4.2 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eintracht Frankfurt
52.7%

Draw
24.4%

Ajax
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

25.8%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

27.8%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.6%	9.4%	25%

Eintracht Frankfurt - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Eintracht will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). Ajax will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eintracht: 47.1% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Kaua Santos (G) 13. Kristensen R. 35. Tuta 4. Koch R. (C) 21. Brown N. 15. Skhiri E. 16. Larsson H. 36. Knauff A. 27. Gotze M. 19. Bahoya J. 11. Ekitike H.	16. Matheus (G) 2. Rosa L. 24. Rugani D. 13. Kaplan A. 36. Janse D. 18. Klaassen D. (C) 31. Mokio J. 21. van den Boomen B. 23. Berghuis S. 59. Konadu D. 17. Edvardsen O.
Substitutes
5. Amenda A. 30. Batshuayi M. 8. Chaibi F. 18. Dahoud M. 47. Fenyo N. 29. Nkounkou N. 39. Obert Y. (G) 42. Siljevic A. (G) 20. Uzun C. Y. 17. Wahi E.	9. Brobbey B. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 3. Gaaei A. 11. Godts M. 12. Gorter J. (G) 4. Hato J. 46. Jetten L. 19. Rijkhoff J. 51. Setford C. (G) 37. Sutalo J. 8. Taylor K. 20. Traore B.
Coaches
Toppmoller D.	Farioli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Bahoya J. ⚽, Ekitike H. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Gotze M. ⚽, Koch R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', Mokio J. ↓, Taylor K. ↑,
63', Konadu D. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
63', Berghuis S. ↓, Godts M. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Ekitike H. ⚽, Bahoya J. (A),
69', Rosa L. ↓, Gaaei A. ↑,
72', Bahoya J. ↓, Uzun C. Y. ↑,
77', Skhiri E. ↓, Dahoud M. ↑,
77', Ekitike H. ↓, Batshuayi M. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Taylor K. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
78', Janse D. ↓, Hato J. ↑,
82', 4 - 1, Gotze M. ⚽, Knauff A. (A),
85', Kristensen R. ↓, Amenda A. ↑,
85', Gotze M. ↓, Chaibi F. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Eintracht will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Eintracht: Amenda A. (Inactive) Chandler T. (Thigh Injury) Collins N. (Yellow Cards) Dina Ebimbe J. (Inactive) Grahl J. (Inactive) Hojlund O. (Inactive) Lisztes K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ajax: Henderson J. (Yellow Cards) Pasveer R. (Groin Injury) Rasmussen C. (Hamstring Injury) Regeer Y. (Ankle Injury) Weghorst W. (Toe Injury) Wijndal O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Eintracht: Theate A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Ajax: Brobbey B. (Knee Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Ankle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Eintracht won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
09.03.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.03.25	Ajax - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.03.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen	1:4 ✺
23.02.25	Bayern Munich - Eintracht Frankfurt	4:0 ✺
16.02.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Holstein Kiel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
09.03.25	Zwolle - Ajax	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.03.25	Ajax - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
02.03.25	Almere City - Ajax	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.25	Ajax - Saint-Gilloise	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
06.03.25	Ajax - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Ajax - Eintracht Frankfurt	Canceled
29.08.20	Ajax - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:1

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