Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	18:45	SuperSport 4
Argentina	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	RTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	18:45	Play Sports 3, VOOsport World 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	14:45	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	19:45	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	13:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	01:45	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 6, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Georgia	21:45	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	18:45	RTL, RTL+
Greece	19:45	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	18:45	RTL+
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	23:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	19:45	Sport 2
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Kazakhstan	23:45	Q Sport
Kosovo	18:45	ART Motion Sport 2
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Macao	01:45	TDM TV
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	11:45	Amazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, Fox Sports
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	18:45	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Premium 3
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 2
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	01:45	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
South Africa	19:45	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	02:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 4
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Canal+ Sport, RTL, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	22:45	Futbol TV
Thailand	00:45	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	20:45	Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 8
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	13:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+, VIX App


	Eintracht Frankfurt		Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.1	4.33	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.7
	1.75	4	4.5	Watch
	1.73	4.12	4.59
	1.93	3.79	3.73	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.8
	1.84	4.1	4.38
	1.75	4.05	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.95)	3.93 ↑ (3.71)	4.2 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eintracht Frankfurt
52.7%

Draw
24.4%

Ajax
22.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.1%

25.8%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

27.8%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.6%	9.4%	25%

Eintracht Frankfurt - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Eintracht will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). Ajax will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eintracht: 47.1% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Kaua Santos (G) 13. Kristensen R. 35. Tuta 4. Koch R. (C) 21. Brown N. 15. Skhiri E. 16. Larsson H. 36. Knauff A. 27. Gotze M. 19. Bahoya J. 11. Ekitike H.	16. Matheus (G) 2. Rosa L. 24. Rugani D. 13. Kaplan A. 36. Janse D. 18. Klaassen D. (C) 31. Mokio J. 21. van den Boomen B. 23. Berghuis S. 59. Konadu D. 17. Edvardsen O.
Substitutes
5. Amenda A. 30. Batshuayi M. 8. Chaibi F. 18. Dahoud M. 47. Fenyo N. 29. Nkounkou N. 39. Obert Y. (G) 42. Siljevic A. (G) 20. Uzun C. Y. 17. Wahi E.	9. Brobbey B. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 3. Gaaei A. 11. Godts M. 12. Gorter J. (G) 4. Hato J. 46. Jetten L. 19. Rijkhoff J. 51. Setford C. (G) 37. Sutalo J. 8. Taylor K. 20. Traore B.
Coaches
Toppmoller D.	Farioli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Bahoya J. ⚽, Ekitike H. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Gotze M. ⚽, Koch R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', Mokio J. ↓, Taylor K. ↑,
63', Konadu D. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
63', Berghuis S. ↓, Godts M. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Ekitike H. ⚽, Bahoya J. (A),
69', Rosa L. ↓, Gaaei A. ↑,
72', Bahoya J. ↓, Uzun C. Y. ↑,
77', Skhiri E. ↓, Dahoud M. ↑,
77', Ekitike H. ↓, Batshuayi M. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Taylor K. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
78', Janse D. ↓, Hato J. ↑,
82', 4 - 1, Gotze M. ⚽, Knauff A. (A),
85', Kristensen R. ↓, Amenda A. ↑,
85', Gotze M. ↓, Chaibi F. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Eintracht will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Eintracht: Amenda A. (Inactive) Chandler T. (Thigh Injury) Collins N. (Yellow Cards) Dina Ebimbe J. (Inactive) Grahl J. (Inactive) Hojlund O. (Inactive) Lisztes K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ajax: Henderson J. (Yellow Cards) Pasveer R. (Groin Injury) Rasmussen C. (Hamstring Injury) Regeer Y. (Ankle Injury) Weghorst W. (Toe Injury) Wijndal O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Eintracht: Theate A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Ajax: Brobbey B. (Knee Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Ankle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Eintracht won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
09.03.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.03.25	Ajax - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.03.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen	1:4 ✺
23.02.25	Bayern Munich - Eintracht Frankfurt	4:0 ✺
16.02.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Holstein Kiel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
09.03.25	Zwolle - Ajax	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.03.25	Ajax - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
02.03.25	Almere City - Ajax	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.25	Ajax - Saint-Gilloise	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
06.03.25	Ajax - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Ajax - Eintracht Frankfurt	Canceled
29.08.20	Ajax - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:1

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