Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ajax		Eintracht Frankfurt

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3	Watch
	2.25	3.5	3
	2.35	3.6	3	Watch
	2.33	3.58	3.1
	2.39	3.47	2.91	Watch
	2.3	3.5	3
	2.38	3.66	3.11
	2.35	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.56)	3.55 ↓ (3.65)	3.02 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
41.2%

Draw
27%

Eintracht Frankfurt
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

26.2%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

27%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eintracht Frankfurt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	18.2%	21.8%

Ajax - Eintracht Frankfurt Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 32 - 68.1%). Eintracht will win (votes: 8 - 17%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 54.8% – 81.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pasveer R. (G) 3. Gaaei A. 37. Sutalo J. 15. Baas Y. 4. Hato J. 31. Mokio J. 6. Henderson J. (C) 8. Taylor K. 20. Traore B. 9. Brobbey B. 11. Godts M.	1. Trapp K. (C) 13. Kristensen R. 34. Collins N. 35. Tuta 3. Theate A. 36. Knauff A. 16. Larsson H. 15. Skhiri E. 27. Gotze M. 11. Ekitike H. 19. Bahoya J.
Substitutes
23. Berghuis S. 17. Edvardsen O. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 12. Gorter J. (G) 36. Janse D. 13. Kaplan A. 59. Konadu D. 2. Rosa L. 24. Rugani D. 51. Setford C. (G) 63. Steur S. 21. van den Boomen B.	30. Batshuayi M. 21. Brown N. 8. Chaibi F. 18. Dahoud M. 47. Fenyo N. 40. Kaua Santos (G) 29. Nkounkou N. 42. Siljevic A. (G) 20. Uzun C. Y. 17. Wahi E.
Coaches
Farioli F.	Toppmoller D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Brobbey B. ⚽, Henderson J. (A),
24', Pasveer R. ↓, Gorter J. ↑,
28', 1 - 1, Larsson H. ⚽, Gotze M. (A),
34', Skhiri E. 🟨,
38', Collins N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Brobbey B. ↓, Berghuis S. ↑,
63', Godts M. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
68', Traore B. 🟨,
70', 1 - 2, Skhiri E. ⚽, Knauff A. (A),
71', Traore B. ↓, Konadu D. ↑,
71', Mokio J. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
73', Bahoya J. ↓, Brown N. ↑,
81', Knauff A. ↓, Chaibi F. ↑,
81', Ekitike H. ↓, Wahi E. ↑,
90', Henderson J. 🟨,
90', Gotze M. ↓, Uzun C. Y. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Ajax is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Eintracht is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Ajax: Klaassen D. (Red Card) Matheus (Inactive) Rasmussen C. (Muscle Injury) Regeer Y. (Ankle Injury) Weghorst W. (Toe Injury) Wijndal O. (Knee Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Eintracht: Chandler T. (Thigh Injury) Dina Ebimbe J. (Inactive) Grahl J. (Inactive) Hojlund O. (Inactive) Lisztes K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Ajax: Sutalo J. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Eintracht: Koch R. (Head Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ajax won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ajax won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
02.03.25	Almere City - Ajax	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.25	Ajax - Saint-Gilloise	1:2 ET ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
16.02.25	Ajax - Heracles Almelo	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	Saint-Gilloise - Ajax	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW
- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
01.03.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen	1:4 ✺
23.02.25	Bayern Munich - Eintracht Frankfurt	4:0 ✺
16.02.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Holstein Kiel	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Wolfsburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.07.22	Ajax - Eintracht Frankfurt	Canceled
29.08.20	Ajax - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:1

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