Match Info

Date: 12 March 2020, Thursday


	Eintracht Frankfurt		Basel

	1	X	2
	1.61	4	5.5
	1.6	4	5.75
	1.65	3.95	5.5
	1.6	3.9	5
	1.65	3.9	5.66
	1.6	3.9	5.5
	1.65	4.05	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.61)	3.96 ↓ (4.08)	5.53 ↑ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eintracht Frankfurt
58.7%

Draw
24.1%

Basel
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.3%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

13.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-25%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eintracht Frankfurt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.3%	1.6%	4.1%

Eintracht Frankfurt - Basel Predictions

Users Predictions: Eintracht Frankfurt will win (182 of 193 users predict this - 94.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.03% – 97.57%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
07.03.20	Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt	4:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
04.03.20	Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.02.20	Red Bull Salzburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
24.02.20	Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.20	Eintracht Frankfurt - Red Bull Salzburg	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTLW
- FC Basel
UEFA Europa League
27.02.20	Basel - APOEL	1:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
23.02.20	Basel - Servette	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.20	APOEL - Basel	0:3 ✺
Swiss Super League
15.02.20	Basel - Thun	0:1 ✺
08.02.20	Zürich - Basel	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWLW

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