Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Referee: Hempel R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Elversberg		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	5.25	Watch
	1.55	4.35	4.95	Watch
	1.59	4.65	5.36
	1.57	4.56	5.09	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5	Watch
	1.55	4.39	5.6	Watch
	1.58	4.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.59)	4.43 ↑ (4.15)	5.14 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
60.4%

Draw
21.3%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

22.5%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

21.8%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	5.9%	5.9%

Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Kristof N. (G) 43. Keidel F. 19. Pinckert L. 3. Le Joncour F. 2. Mickelson N. 17. Schmahl F. 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 10. Conte B. 29. Zimmerschied T. 22. Ebnoutalib Y.	33. Kastenmeier F. (G) 19. Iyoha E. 44. Egouli E. 2. Daland J. 4. Schmidt K. 8. El Azzouzi A. 46. Suso S. 10. Rasmussen C. 23. Appelkamp S. 24. Muslija F. 13. Itten C.
Substitutes
28. Boss T. (G) 11. Ceka J. 6. Conde A. 21. Gunther L. 14. Malanga J. 32. Pantschenko D. 31. Rohr M. 23. Sickinger C. 9. Stange O.	40. Anhari H. 9. Celar Z. 30. de Wijs J. 5. Heyer M. 3. Lenz C. 1. Lotka M. (G) 7. Raimund L. 22. Schmidt D. 25. Zimmermann M.
Coaches
Wagner V.	Anfang M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Keidel F. 🟨,
32', Suso S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Daland J. ↓, de Wijs J. ↑,
63', Rasmussen C. ↓, Raimund L. ↑,
63', Appelkamp S. ↓, Lenz C. ↑,
65', Keidel F. ↓, Gunther L. ↑,
65', Petkov L. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
78', Schmahl F. ↓, Conde A. ↑,
78', Mickelson N. ↓, Rohr M. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Stange O. ⚽, Zimmerschied T. (A),
85', Suso S. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
85', Iyoha E. ↓, Celar Z. ↑,
87', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Sickinger C. ↑,
90+6', Lenz C. 🟨,
90+6', Schmidt K. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

In recent matches, Elversberg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fortuna is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Elversberg is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Pfeiffer L. (Foot Injury) Seifert L. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Fortuna: Alexandropoulos S. (Muscle Injury) Breithaupt T. (Injury) Oberdorf T. (Red Card) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schock F. (Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Elversberg: Rohr M. (Illness)

There are questionable in Fortuna: Lunddal V. (Foot Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
06.12.25	Paderborn - Elversberg	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Elversberg - Darmstadt	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Karlsruher - Elversberg	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	Schalke 04 - Elversberg	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Elversberg - Hannover	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWLT
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
05.12.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Magdeburg	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Kaiserslautern	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
19.04.25	Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1
23.11.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Elversberg	0:2
10.02.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Elversberg	1:1
26.08.23	Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:5

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