Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen)

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	RTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	RTL, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	RTL, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	Onefootball


	Schalke 04		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	2	4.2	3.1	Watch
	2.1	3.6	3.3
	2.05	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.29	3.7	3.18
	2.1	3.65	3.31	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.2
	1.95	4.23	3.29	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.04)	3.72 ↑ (3.59)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
45.2%

Draw
25.4%

Magdeburg
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

25.7%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

26.2%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.5%	8.1%	5.4%

Schalke 04 - Magdeburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Schalke (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Schalke (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Magdeburg (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (32 of 37 users predict this - 86.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.48% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Schalke 04 will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Magdeburg (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Muller K. (G) 5. Becker T. 25. Katic N. 4. Kurucay H. 16. N'Diaye M. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 21. Ljubicic D. 19. Karaman K. (C) 24. Aouchiche A. 10. Dzeko E.	1. Reimann D. (C) 24. Hugonet J. 16. Mathisen M. 5. Muller T. 27. Hercher P. 8. Ulrich L. 21. Michel F. 17. Nollenberger A. 10. Pesch N. 22. Zukowski M. 23. Atik B.
Substitutes
43. Ayhan M. 14. Bachmann J. 7. Gomis C. 37. Gruger M. 27. Porath F. 2. Sanchez F. 36. Siebeking J. (G) 9. Sylla M. 35. Wallentowitz M.	7. Bockhorn H. 9. Breunig M. 28. Geschwill M. 29. Ghrieb R. 25. Gnaka S. 30. Kruth N. (G) 19. Musonda L. 6. Stalmach D. 18. Tachie R.
Coaches
Muslic M.	Sander P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Hugonet J. (Own goal),
17', 1 - 1, Nollenberger A. ⚽, Zukowski M. (A),
39', 2 - 1, Dzeko E. ⚽, Aouchiche A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Pesch N. ↓, Musonda L. ↑,
46', Mathisen M. ↓, Gnaka S. ↑,
49', 3 - 1, Karaman K. (Penalty Awarded),
53', 3 - 2, Zukowski M. ⚽,
56', Becker T. 🟨,
65', 4 - 2, Ljubicic D. ⚽, Dzeko E. (A),
68', 5 - 2, Karaman K. ⚽,
72', Becker T. ↓, Ayhan M. ↑,
72', Ljubicic D. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
72', Kurucay H. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
76', Atik B. ↓, Tachie R. ↑,
76', Hercher P. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,
76', Dzeko E. ↓, Gomis C. ↑,
81', Aouchiche A. ↓, Wallentowitz M. ↑,
84', 5 - 3, Zukowski M. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Nollenberger A. ↓, Bockhorn H. ↑,
90+6', Karaman K. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Schalke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Schalke is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Schalke: Becker V. (Knock) Gantenbein A. (Calf Injury) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lasme B. (Knee Injury) Leonard D. (Ankle Injury) Matriciani H. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Magdeburg: Chahed T. (Inactive) Heber D. (Inactive) Hyrylainen L. (Shin Injury) Loric S. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Magdeburg: Holmstrom A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 3:4).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Magdeburg: 4.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Magdeburg	7	4	1	2	14:9	5	13

Last Results with these Odds

Magdeburg - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.88%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
15.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Schalke 04 - Dynamo Dresden	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Bochum - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Schalke 04 - Kaiserslautern	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Hertha Berlin - Schalke 04	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLTT
- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
15.02.26	Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg	4:5 ✺
30.01.26	Magdeburg - Hannover	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Magdeburg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
20.09.25	Magdeburg - Schalke 04	0:2
01.02.25	Schalke 04 - Magdeburg	2:5
25.08.24	Magdeburg - Schalke 04	2:2
24.02.24	Magdeburg - Schalke 04	3:0
16.09.23	Schalke 04 - Magdeburg	4:3
Club Friendly
27.07.12	Magdeburg - Schalke 04	N/A

Upcoming Matches