Match Info

ECUADOR: LIGA PRO - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 14

Date: 12 June 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio George Capwell (Guayaquil)

Referee: Cabrera R. (Ecu)


	Emelec		Gualaceo

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	9.5	Watch
	1.29	5	7.75
	1.3	5.1	8.5
	1.33	5.33	9.09
	1.29	4.75	9
	1.32	5.25	8.9	Watch
	1.3	5.2	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.41)	5.13 ↑ (4.4)	8.76 ↑ (6.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emelec
71.2%

Draw
18.2%

Gualaceo
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

21%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

19.7%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emelec's performance.

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	17.6%	17.6%

Emelec - Gualaceo Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Gualaceo will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Emelec: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ortiz P. (G) 3. Fara C. 27. Leon F. 2. Leguizamon A. 24. Carabali B. 21. Cevallos J. 36. Valencia C. 7. Sosa Samuel 23. Bolanos M. 13. Jhon Sanchez 9. Cabeza A.	27. Hinostroza W. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 25. Ndong O. 3. Ontaneda J. 15. Hernandez J. 8. Flores F. 18. Gongora J. 7. Patta Quintero H. L. 5. Verges J. 10. Preciado J. 99. Angulo V.
Substitutes
6. Agron B. 8. Alberti J. 19. Bryan Angulo 14. Caicedo R. 30. Chamba T. 18. Cruz C. 17. Espinoza J. 34. Lastre E. 22. Mina F. (G) 70. Perez J. 15. Villalba C.	13. Angulo Grueso B. A. 11. Carrion J. 26. Enriquez D. 34. Eras Quilambaqui T. A. (G) 9. Garcia O. 33. Mercado H. 77. Minda T. 20. Quezada A. 62. Torres B.
Coaches
Torres H.	Vanegas L.

Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 13 and 12).

Recent matches Emelec is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gualaceo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gualaceo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Emelec is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Emelec won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Emelec won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emelec
Copa Sudamericana
07.06.23	Emelec - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.06.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec	1:3 ✺
29.05.23	Emelec - Guayaquil City	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.05.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Emelec	2:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.05.23	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWTTL
- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.06.23	Gualaceo - El Nacional	3:4 ✺
27.05.23	Delfín - Gualaceo	1:0 ✺
21.05.23	Gualaceo - Libertad Loja	1:1 ✺
13.05.23	SD Aucas - Gualaceo	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	Gualaceo - Independiente del Valle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
31.07.22	Emelec - Gualaceo	2:1
13.03.22	Gualaceo - Emelec	2:1

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