The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ajax 26.7%
Draw 23.6%
Liverpool 49.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.6%
23.1%
55.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.1%
22.6%
56.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajax's performance.
Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liverpool might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajax that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liverpool could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.8%
10.1%
74.1%
Ajax - Liverpool Predictions
Users Predictions:
139 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 22 - 15.8%). Liverpool will win (votes: 103 - 74.1%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 10.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 66.8% – 81.4%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Ajax has currently - 3, has not chance of 1st, has a very small chance of 2nd (3%), has a good chance of 3rd (91%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (3%), has a very small chance of qtrs (1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Liverpool has currently - 9, has a small chance of 1st (12%), has a good chance of 2nd (85%), has a very small chance of 3rd (3%), has a very good chance of round of 16 (97%), has a good chance of qtrs (54%), has a chance of semis (31%), has a chance of final (16%), has a small chance of win league (7%).
This event has big quality85, small importance15, match rating50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Ajax could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Liverpool will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Ajax: Ihattaren M.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Kaplan A.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Liverpool: Arthur
(Muscle Injury)
Diaz L.
(Knee Injury)
Diogo Jota
(Calf Injury)
Keita N.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Matip J.
(Calf Injury)
Thiago
(Illness)
There are questionable in Ajax: Rensch D.
(Injury)
Taylor K.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Liverpool: Konate I.
(Muscle Injury)
Nunez D.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Ajax won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Ajax won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
Australia
Austria
Bulgaria
Croatia
Czech-republic
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Hungary
Italy
Portugal
Romania
Slovenia
United-kingdom
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