Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Relegation - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: De Oude Meerdijk (Emmen)

Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Emmen		NAC Breda

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.35	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.35
	2.75	3.6	2.4	Watch
	2.9	3.7	2.38
	2.9	3.63	2.39
	2.75	3.7	2.3
	2.71	3.74	2.39	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.58)	3.61 ↑ (3.56)	2.37 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emmen
33.6%

Draw
26.3%

NAC Breda
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

26.6%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

27%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Emmen - NAC Breda Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Emmen will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Breda will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Emmen: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oelschlagel E. (G) 4. te Wierik M. 14. Vos D. 24. Dirksen J. 3. Hardeveld J. 6. Kieftenbeld M. 8. Bernadou L. 17. Van Hoeven B. 7. Besuijen V. 10. Ubbink D. 9. Parzyszek P.	36. van de Merbel P. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 15. Martina C. (C) 5. Van den Bergh J. 4. Kemper B. 20. Jensen F. 6. Staring C. 17. Kuijpers R. 22. Omgba A. 39. Janosek D. 9. Haugen S.
Substitutes
34. Bolk G. 21. Brouwer P. 23. Hammouti F. 15. Hekkert J. 13. Heylen M. 22. Hoekstra J. (G) 29. Konings J. 28. Pouwels M. 19. Scholte B. 2. Schouten R. 25. Smeets J. 16. van Dorp K. (G)	23. Besselink R. 19. Boere T. 7. Garbett M. 1. Kortsmit R. (G) 3. Koscelnik M. 27. Marijnissen T. 10. Omarsson E. 21. Royo M. 25. Valerius C. 37. van Lare A. (G) 35. van Schuppen B. 31. Wernersson V.
Coaches
Arts A.	van Gastel J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Haugen S. ⚽, Omgba A. (A),
14', 0 - 2, Van den Bergh J. ⚽, Janosek D. (A),
18', Van Hoeven B. 🟨,
25', Kemper B. 🟨,
43', Janosek D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ubbink D. ↓, Brouwer P. ↑,
46', Van Hoeven B. ↓, Pouwels M. ↑,
46', Kemper B. ↓, Royo M. ↑,
56', 0 - 3, Kuijpers R. ⚽, Martina C. (A),
64', Parzyszek P. ↓, Hekkert J. ↑,
66', Jensen F. ↓, Garbett M. ↑,
66', Haugen S. ↓, Omarsson E. ↑,
76', Bernadou L. ↓, Smeets J. ↑,
77', Kuijpers R. ↓, Koscelnik M. ↑,
86', Hardeveld J. ↓, Bolk G. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Emmen won 3.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Breda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Emmen won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 24-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Emmen won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Emmen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.05.24	NAC Breda - Emmen	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	Dordrecht - Emmen	0:1 ✺
14.05.24	Emmen - Dordrecht	2:2 ✺
10.05.24	Emmen - De Graafschap	2:1 ✺
03.05.24	Den Bosch - Emmen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWTWW
- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.05.24	NAC Breda - Emmen	1:1 ✺
17.05.24	Roda - NAC Breda	0:5 ✺
13.05.24	NAC Breda - Roda	3:1 ✺
10.05.24	FC Oss - NAC Breda	1:1 ✺
03.05.24	NAC Breda - ADO Den Haag	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.05.24	NAC Breda - Emmen	1:1
13.01.24	Emmen - NAC Breda	2:3
22.09.23	NAC Breda - Emmen	1:3
03.06.23	Emmen - NAC Breda	2:0
31.05.23	NAC Breda - Emmen	1:2
22.01.22	Emmen - NAC Breda	2:0
17.09.21	NAC Breda - Emmen	1:2

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