The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
NAC Breda 55.1%
Draw 23.9%
Emmen 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46%
26.2%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.1%
27.4%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NAC Breda's performance.
Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emmen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NAC Breda that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emmen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.4%
4.5%
9.1%
NAC Breda - Emmen Predictions
Users Predictions:
NAC Breda will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. van de Merbel P. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 15. Martina C. (C) 5. Van den Bergh J. 21. Royo M. 20. Jensen F. 6. Staring C. 17. Kuijpers R. 22. Omgba A. 39. Janosek D. 9. Haugen S.
1. Oelschlagel E. (G) 4. te Wierik M. 14. Vos D. 24. Dirksen J. 3. Hardeveld J. 8. Bernadou L. 6. Kieftenbeld M. 17. Van Hoeven B. 7. Besuijen V. 10. Ubbink D. 9. Parzyszek P.
Substitutes
23. Besselink R. 19. Boere T. 7. Garbett M. 1. Kortsmit R. (G) 3. Koscelnik M. 27. Marijnissen T. 10. Omarsson E. 25. Valerius C. 37. van Lare A. (G) 35. van Schuppen B. 31. Wernersson V.
34. Bolk G. 21. Brouwer P. 23. Hammouti F. 15. Hekkert J. 13. Heylen M. 22. Hoekstra J. (G) 29. Konings J. 28. Pouwels M. 19. Scholte B. 16. van Dorp K. (G)
Coaches
van Gastel J.
Arts A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Ubbink D. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Haugen S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Ubbink D. ↓, Konings J. ↑,
61', Van Hoeven B. ↓, Brouwer P. ↑,
62', Dirksen J. 🟨,
73', Parzyszek P. ↓, Pouwels M. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Besuijen V. (Pen),
82', Kuijpers R. ↓, Koscelnik M. ↑,
83', Jensen F. ↓, Garbett M. ↑,
84', Van den Bergh J. 🟨,
89', Bernadou L. 🟨,
Preview
1st leg.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Breda won 1.
Breda is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Emmen in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Breda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Breda is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Breda won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17-23.
Including matches at home between the teams Breda won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-13.
Netherlands
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van de Merbel P. (G) 
Martina C. (C) 
Van den Bergh J. 
Royo M. 
Jensen F. 
Janosek D. 
Oelschlagel E. (G) 
Bernadou L. 
Parzyszek P. 
Garbett M. 
Koscelnik M. 
Omarsson E. 
Wernersson V. 
Hammouti F. 
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