Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 21

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	16:45	ESPN
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Azerbaijan	23:45	CBC Sport
Belgium	20:45	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	16:45	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	14:45	TLN, VIVA
China	03:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 2
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Georgia	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	03:45	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	20:45	Match 4, Net4+
India	01:15	GXR World
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Israel	21:45	Sport 2
Italy	20:45	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, Sportitalia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Macao	03:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	ESPN
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	ESPN
Philippines	03:45	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV3
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1
South America	—	ESPN South
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	00:45	Varzish Sport
Tanzania	22:45	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	22:45	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Arab Emirates	23:45	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
United Kingdom	19:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
Usa	14:45	CBS, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Vietnam	02:45	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
International	19:45	Disney+, Onefootball, Prima+ app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Inter Milan		Empoli

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	11	Watch
	1.33	5.25	9
	1.32	5.4	9.2	Watch
	1.32	5.45	10.59	Watch
	1.3	5	9
	1.33	5.9	10.6	Watch
	1.33	5.5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.23)	5.32 ↓ (6.5)	9.91 ↓ (12.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
72.4%

Draw
18%

Empoli
9.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

77.8%

14.7%

7.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Milan's form might have worsened.

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	11.1%	7.9%

Inter Milan - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (51 of 62 users predict this - 82.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 91.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) 28. Pavard B. 6. de Vrij S. 30. Carlos Augusto 2. Dumfries D. 23. Barella N. 21. Asllani K. 7. Zielinski P. 32. Dimarco F. 99. Taremi M. 10. Martinez L. (C)	23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 22. De Sciglio M. 34. Ismajli A. 21. Viti M. 11. Gyasi E. 93. Maleh Y. 5. Grassi A. (C) 3. Pezzella G. 10. Fazzini J. 13. Cacace L. 29. Colombo L.
Substitutes
15. Acerbi F. 8. Arnautovic M. 95. Bastoni A. 17. Buchanan T. 40. Calligaris A. (G) 36. Darmian M. 49. De Pieri G. 16. Frattesi D. 13. Martinez J. (G) 22. Mkhitaryan H. 42. Palacios T. 9. Thuram M. 53. Topalovic L.	41. Asmussen A. 99. Esposito Se. 2. Goglichidze S. 6. Henderson L. 90. Konate I. 35. Marianucci L. 1. Perisan S. (G) 7. Sambia J. 12. Seghetti J. (G) 31. Tosto L. 27. Zurkowski S.
Coaches
Farris M.	D'Aversa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, Martinez L. ⚽, Barella N. (A),
63', D'Aversa R. 🟨,
66', Fazzini J. ↓, Esposito Se. ↑,
66', De Sciglio M. ↓, Goglichidze S. ↑,
69', Taremi M. ↓, Thuram M. ↑,
69', Zielinski P. ↓, Mkhitaryan H. ↑,
73', Grassi A. ↓, Henderson L. ↑,
78', Martinez L. ↓, Arnautovic M. ↑,
78', Barella N. ↓, Bastoni A. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Dumfries D. ⚽, Asllani K. (A),
83', 2 - 1, Esposito Se. ⚽, Henderson L. (A),
83', Pezzella G. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,
83', Cacace L. ↓, Zurkowski S. ↑,
85', Pavard B. ↓, Darmian M. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Thuram M. ⚽, Arnautovic M. (A),

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Inter won 4.

Inter is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Empoli has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Inter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Inter is certain favorite.

There will not play in Inter: Calhanoglu H. (Injury) Correa J. (Injury) Di Gennaro R. (Finger Injury)

There will not play in Empoli: Anjorin F. (Injury) Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury) Haas N. (Knee Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Solbakken O. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Inter: Bisseck Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Empoli: Brancolini F. (Injury) Zurkowski S. (Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Inter won 14 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 32:10 (average 2:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Inter won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:10 (average 2.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
15.01.25	Inter Milan - Bologna	2:2 ✺
12.01.25	Venezia - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
Italian Super Cup
06.01.25	Inter Milan - Milan	2:3 ✺
02.01.25	Inter Milan - Atalanta	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.12.24	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLWW
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
11.01.25	Empoli - Lecce	1:3 ✺
04.01.25	Venezia - Empoli	1:1 ✺
28.12.24	Empoli - Genoa	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Atalanta - Empoli	3:2 ✺
13.12.24	Empoli - Torino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
30.10.24	Empoli - Inter Milan	0:3
01.04.24	Inter Milan - Empoli	2:0
24.09.23	Empoli - Inter Milan	0:1
23.04.23	Empoli - Inter Milan	0:3
23.01.23	Inter Milan - Empoli	0:1
06.05.22	Inter Milan - Empoli	4:2
Coppa Italia
19.01.22	Inter Milan - Empoli	3:2 ET

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