Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 21

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Argentina	ESPN
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World	Disney+, Onefootball, Prima+ app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Inter Milan		Empoli

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	11	Watch
	1.33	5.25	9
	1.32	5.4	9.2	Watch
	1.32	5.45	10.59	Watch
	1.3	5	9
	1.33	5.9	10.6	Watch
	1.33	5.5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.23)	5.32 ↓ (6.5)	9.91 ↓ (12.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
72.4%

Draw
18%

Empoli
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.8%

14.7%

7.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Milan's form might have worsened.

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	11.1%	7.9%

Inter Milan - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (51 of 62 users predict this - 82.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 91.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) 28. Pavard B. 6. de Vrij S. 30. Carlos Augusto 2. Dumfries D. 23. Barella N. 21. Asllani K. 7. Zielinski P. 32. Dimarco F. 99. Taremi M. 10. Martinez L. (C)	23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 22. De Sciglio M. 34. Ismajli A. 21. Viti M. 11. Gyasi E. 93. Maleh Y. 5. Grassi A. (C) 3. Pezzella G. 10. Fazzini J. 13. Cacace L. 29. Colombo L.
Substitutes
15. Acerbi F. 8. Arnautovic M. 95. Bastoni A. 17. Buchanan T. 40. Calligaris A. (G) 36. Darmian M. 49. De Pieri G. 16. Frattesi D. 13. Martinez J. (G) 22. Mkhitaryan H. 42. Palacios T. 9. Thuram M. 53. Topalovic L.	41. Asmussen A. 99. Esposito Se. 2. Goglichidze S. 6. Henderson L. 90. Konate I. 35. Marianucci L. 1. Perisan S. (G) 7. Sambia J. 12. Seghetti J. (G) 31. Tosto L. 27. Zurkowski S.
Coaches
Farris M.	D'Aversa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, Martinez L. ⚽, Barella N. (A),
63', D'Aversa R. 🟨,
66', Fazzini J. ↓, Esposito Se. ↑,
66', De Sciglio M. ↓, Goglichidze S. ↑,
69', Taremi M. ↓, Thuram M. ↑,
69', Zielinski P. ↓, Mkhitaryan H. ↑,
73', Grassi A. ↓, Henderson L. ↑,
78', Martinez L. ↓, Arnautovic M. ↑,
78', Barella N. ↓, Bastoni A. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Dumfries D. ⚽, Asllani K. (A),
83', 2 - 1, Esposito Se. ⚽, Henderson L. (A),
83', Pezzella G. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,
83', Cacace L. ↓, Zurkowski S. ↑,
85', Pavard B. ↓, Darmian M. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Thuram M. ⚽, Arnautovic M. (A),

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Inter won 4.

Inter is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Empoli has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Inter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Inter is certain favorite.

There will not play in Inter: Calhanoglu H. (Injury) Correa J. (Injury) Di Gennaro R. (Finger Injury)

There will not play in Empoli: Anjorin F. (Injury) Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury) Haas N. (Knee Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Solbakken O. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Inter: Bisseck Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Empoli: Brancolini F. (Injury) Zurkowski S. (Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Inter won 14 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 32:10 (average 2:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Inter won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:10 (average 2.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
15.01.25	Inter Milan - Bologna	2:2 ✺
12.01.25	Venezia - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
Italian Super Cup
06.01.25	Inter Milan - Milan	2:3 ✺
02.01.25	Inter Milan - Atalanta	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.12.24	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLWW
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
11.01.25	Empoli - Lecce	1:3 ✺
04.01.25	Venezia - Empoli	1:1 ✺
28.12.24	Empoli - Genoa	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Atalanta - Empoli	3:2 ✺
13.12.24	Empoli - Torino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
30.10.24	Empoli - Inter Milan	0:3
01.04.24	Inter Milan - Empoli	2:0
24.09.23	Empoli - Inter Milan	0:1
23.04.23	Empoli - Inter Milan	0:3
23.01.23	Inter Milan - Empoli	0:1
06.05.22	Inter Milan - Empoli	4:2
Coppa Italia
19.01.22	Inter Milan - Empoli	3:2 ET

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