Match Info

Serie B - Round 22

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)

Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Avellino		Cesena

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.1	2.5	Watch
	3	3	2.38	Watch
	3.12	3.05	2.67
	3.23	3.15	2.29	Watch
	2.88	3	2.45
	3.1	3.1	2.45	Watch
	3.14	2.9	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.98)	3.04 (3.04)	2.46 (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
30.9%

Draw
30.9%

Cesena
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

30.7%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

30.1%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Avellino - Cesena Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Daffara G. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 56. Enrici P. 63. Fontanarosa A. 2. Missori F. 20. Palumbo M. 6. Palmiero L. 24. Sounas D. 3. Sala M. 14. Biasci T. 9. Patierno C. (C)	33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 19. Zaro G. 26. Piacentini M. 11. Ciervo R. 25. Bisoli D. 4. Castagnetti M. 14. Berti T. 99. Frabotta G. 32. Olivieri M. 9. Shpendi C.
Substitutes
21. Armellino M. 39. Besaggio M. 11. D'Andrea L. 1. Iannarilli A. (G) 78. Milani A. 45. Pane P. (G) 19. Reale F. 10. Russo R. 53. Sassi J. (G) 7. Tutino G.	16. Amoran P. 6. Arrigoni T. 29. Balde S. 40. Ferretti L. (G) 39. Fontana N. (G) 70. Francesconi M. 75. Galvagno F. 18. Guidi M. 23. Magni V. 35. Zamagni D.
Coaches
Biancolino R.	Mignani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Olivieri M. ⚽, Bisoli D. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Biasci T. ⚽, Sounas D. (A),
33', Frabotta G. 🟨,
37', 2 - 1, Biasci T. ⚽, Palumbo M. (A),
37', Piacentini M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Sounas D. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Biasci T. ⚽,
64', Ciofi A. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
64', Bisoli D. ↓, Francesconi M. ↑,
64', Piacentini M. ↓, Magni V. ↑,
73', Palmiero L. ↓, Armellino M. ↑,
73', Patierno C. ↓, Tutino G. ↑,
75', Olivieri M. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
78', Enrici P. 🟨,
81', Castagnetti M. ↓, Arrigoni T. ↑,
86', Biasci T. ↓, Russo R. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 0.

Avellino has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cesena has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cesena could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Avellino: Iannarilli A. (Inactive) Insigne R. (Calf Injury) Izzo A. (Inactive) Kumi J. (Injury) Rigione M. (Inactive) Simic L. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Cesena: Mangraviti M. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Avellino won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Avellino	6	3	1	2	11:7	4	10
11	Cesena	6	1	4	1	7:8	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
24.01.26	Spezia - Avellino	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Avellino - Carrarese	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Avellino - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Bari - Avellino	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Avellino - Palermo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWTT
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
24.01.26	Cesena - Bari	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Reggiana - Cesena	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Cesena - Empoli	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Catanzaro - Cesena	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Cesena - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
09.11.25	Cesena - Avellino	3:0
10.02.18	Avellino - Cesena	1:1
15.09.17	Cesena - Avellino	3:1
22.04.17	Avellino - Cesena	1:1
26.11.16	Cesena - Avellino	3:0
20.05.16	Avellino - Cesena	1:2
27.12.15	Cesena - Avellino	1:2

Avellino - Cesena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide