Match Info

Serie B - Round 26

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Italy	DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	Sport TV2
World	Onefootball


	Frosinone		Empoli

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.98	3.5	3.5
	1.72	3.65	4.35	Watch
	1.78	3.78	4.73
	1.74	3.75	4.46	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.33
	1.77	3.74	4.55	Watch
	1.88	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.98)	3.65 ↑ (3.47)	4.3 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
52.5%

Draw
25.7%

Empoli
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frosinone's performance.

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.9%	5.4%	2.7%

Frosinone - Empoli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Frosinone (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Frosinone will win (34 of 37 users predict this - 91.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.09% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Frosinone will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 11 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Palmisani L. (G) 20. Oyono J. 30. Monterisi I. (C) 3. Calvani G. 19. Corrado N. 14. Calo G. 8. Koutsoupias I. 16. Cichella M. 7. Ghedjemis F. 9. Raimondo A. 17. Kvernadze G.	21. Fulignati A. (G) 2. Curto M. 20. Lovato M. (C) 5. Obaretin N. 24. Ebuehi T. 8. Magnino L. 6. Degli Innocenti D. 25. Ignacchiti L. 7. Elia S. 17. Fila D. 11. Shpendi S.
Substitutes
40. Fini S. 80. Fiori A. 10. Gelli F. 6. Gelli J. 18. Grosso F. 92. Kone B. L. 12. Lolic E. (G) 5. Marchizza R. 21. Oyono A. 75. Pisseri M. (G) 90. Vergani E. 28. Zilli M.	26. Candela A. 15. Ceesay J. 32. Haas N. 10. Ilie R. 28. Indragoli G. 27. Moruzzi B. 19. Nasti M. 1. Perisan S. (G) 77. Popov B. 4. Romagnoli S. 70. Saporiti E. 14. Yepes G.
Coaches
Alvini M.	Dionisi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Shpendi S. ⚽, Ebuehi T. (A),
22', Magnino L. 🟨,
26', Elia S. 🟨,
45+1', Curto M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Ghedjemis F. ⚽, Monterisi I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 2, Shpendi S. ⚽, Elia S. (A),
56', Monterisi I. ↓, Gelli J. ↑,
60', 2 - 2, Koutsoupias I. ⚽, Raimondo A. (A),
67', Ebuehi T. ↓, Candela A. ↑,
67', Fila D. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
70', Cichella M. ↓, Kone B. L. ↑,
70', Raimondo A. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
73', Obaretin N. 🟨,
77', Elia S. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
78', Ignacchiti L. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
79', Gelli J. 🟨,
82', Koutsoupias I. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
82', Kvernadze G. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
87', Shpendi S. ↓, Saporiti E. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 1.

Frosinone is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Empoli is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Frosinone will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Frosinone: Barcella K. (Injury) Gelli F. (Injury) Monterisi I. (Injury)

There will not play in Empoli: Ghion A. (Inactive) Guarino G. (Yellow Cards) Moruzzi B. (Inactive) Pellegri P. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Frosinone won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 2.2:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Empoli	6	2	0	4	6:10	-4	6

Last Results with these Odds

Empoli - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 26.66%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
15.02.26	Spezia - Frosinone	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Avellino - Frosinone	1:3 ✺
07.02.26	Frosinone - Venezia	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Virtus Entella - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Frosinone - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLTW
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
15.02.26	Empoli - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
11.02.26	Empoli - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Palermo - Empoli	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	Empoli - Modena	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Carrarese - Empoli	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.12.25	Empoli - Frosinone	1:1
Italian Serie A
05.05.24	Empoli - Frosinone	0:0
06.11.23	Frosinone - Empoli	2:1
Italian Serie B
30.01.21	Empoli - Frosinone	3:1
26.09.20	Frosinone - Empoli	0:2
10.07.20	Empoli - Frosinone	2:0
30.11.19	Frosinone - Empoli	4:0

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