The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Palermo 57.2%
Draw 25.5%
Empoli 17.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.9%
23.8%
17.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.4%
22.8%
16.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Palermo - Empoli Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Palermo will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Palermo will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
66. Joronen J. (G) 29. Peda P. 13. Bani M. (C) 32. Ceccaroni P. 27. Pierozzi N. 8. Segre J. 10. Ranocchia F. 3. Augello T. 11. Gyasi E. 21. Le Douaron J. 20. Pohjanpalo J.
21. Fulignati A. (G) 20. Lovato M. (C) 34. Guarino G. 5. Obaretin N. 26. Candela A. 8. Magnino L. 18. Ghion A. 6. Degli Innocenti D. 7. Elia S. 11. Shpendi S. 19. Nasti M.
Substitutes
19. Bereszynski B. 28. Blin A. 31. Corona G. 77. Di Bartolo F. (G) 6. Gomes C. 1. Gomis A. (G) 7. Johnsen D. 96. Magnani G. 14. Vasic A.
15. Ceesay J. 2. Curto M. 24. Ebuehi T. 17. Fila D. 32. Haas N. 25. Ignacchiti L. 28. Indragoli G. 1. Perisan S. (G) 77. Popov B. 4. Romagnoli S. 70. Saporiti E. 14. Yepes G.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.
Dionisi A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Guarino G. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Fulignati A. (Own goal),
33', Bani M. 🟨,
38', Lovato M. 🟨,
45', Ceccaroni P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ceccaroni P. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
56', Gyasi E. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
56', Nasti M. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Le Douaron J. (A),
66', Obaretin N. 🟨,
70', Elia S. ↓, Ebuehi T. ↑,
71', Candela A. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Ebuehi T. ⚽,
82', Le Douaron J. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
82', Segre J. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
84', 3 - 2, Pohjanpalo J. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Shpendi S. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
88', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Ignacchiti L. ↑,
90+1', Ranocchia F. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
90+6', Fulignati A. 🟨,
90+7', Magnino L. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 2.
Palermo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Empoli has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Empoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Palermo is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Palermo: Magnani G.
(Leg Injury)
Modesto R.
(Injury)
Palumbo A.
(Yellow Cards)
Veroli D.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Empoli: Bianchi F.
(Inactive)
Pellegri P.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Palermo: Gomes C.
(Injury)
Pierozzi N.
(Injury)
We predict that Palermo will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).