Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	16:45	Disney+
Australia	06:45	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	16:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Chile	16:45	Disney+
Colombia	14:45	Disney+
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hungary	20:45	Net4+
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 1
Mexico	13:45	Disney+
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV1
Romania	21:45	Prima Sport 5
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+
International	19:45	Disney+


	Empoli		Torino

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.88	3.25	Watch
	2.6	2.75	3.2
	2.6	2.8	3.2	Watch
	2.72	2.82	3.28
	2.68	2.75	3.36	Watch
	2.6	2.8	3.1
	2.68	3.02	3.21	Watch
	2.65	2.85	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.7)	2.83 ↓ (2.99)	3.23 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
36.4%

Draw
33.9%

Torino
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

32%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

33.4%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Torino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torino than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	60.3%	13.8%

Empoli - Torino Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 15 - 27.3%). Torino will win (votes: 7 - 12.7%). It will Tie (votes: 33 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.1% – 72.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 2. Goglichidze S. 34. Ismajli A. (C) 21. Viti M. 11. Gyasi E. 8. Anjorin F. 93. Maleh Y. 3. Pezzella G. 99. Esposito Se. 13. Cacace L. 29. Colombo L.	32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 4. Walukiewicz S. 23. Coco S. 5. Masina A. 16. Pedersen M. 28. Ricci S. 77. Linetty K. (C) 66. Gineitis G. 24. Sosa B. 7. Karamoh Y. 9. Sanabria A.
Substitutes
36. Bacci J. 16. Belardinelli L. 37. Bembnista D. 89. Campaniello T. 22. De Sciglio M. 19. Ekong E. 5. Grassi A. 90. Konate I. 35. Marianucci L. 1. Perisan S. (G) 7. Sambia J. 12. Seghetti J. (G) 31. Tosto L.	18. Adams C. 21. Dembele A. 17. Donnarumma A. (G) 8. Ilic I. 20. Lazaro V. 13. Maripan G. 92. Njie A. 1. Paleari A. (G) 83. Perciun S. 61. Tameze A. 10. Vlasic N.
Coaches
D'Aversa R.	Vanoli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Masina A. 🟨,
12', Coco S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gineitis G. ↓, Vlasic N. ↑,
64', Sanabria A. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
64', Karamoh Y. ↓, Njie A. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Adams C. ⚽, Vlasic N. (A),
74', Anjorin F. ↓, Grassi A. ↑,
74', Cacace L. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
75', Walukiewicz S. ↓, Dembele A. ↑,
80', Grassi A. 🟨,
80', Colombo L. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,
84', Pedersen M. 🟨,
84', Pedersen M. ↓, Lazaro V. ↑,
84', Pezzella G. 🟨,
90', Goglichidze S. ↓, Konate I. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Empoli won 2.

Recent matches Empoli is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Torino is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Empoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Empoli have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Empoli: Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury) Fazzini J. (Injury) Haas N. (Injury) Henderson L. (Yellow Cards) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Zurkowski S. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Torino: Ilkhan E. (Knee Injury) Schuurs P. (Knee Injury) Zapata D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Torino: Ilic I. (Hamstring Injury) Savva Z. (Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Empoli won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21:18 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Empoli won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.8:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Torino - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 32.52%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
08.12.24	Verona - Empoli	1:4 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.12.24	Fiorentina - Empoli	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
30.11.24	Milan - Empoli	3:0 ✺
25.11.24	Empoli - Udinese	1:1 ✺
08.11.24	Lecce - Empoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WWLTT
- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
07.12.24	Genoa - Torino	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Torino - Napoli	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Torino - Monza	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Juventus - Torino	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Torino - Fiorentina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
24.09.24	Torino - Empoli	1:2
Italian Serie A
06.04.24	Empoli - Torino	3:2
16.12.23	Torino - Empoli	1:0
28.01.23	Empoli - Torino	2:2
09.10.22	Torino - Empoli	1:1
01.05.22	Empoli - Torino	1:3
02.12.21	Torino - Empoli	2:2

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