Match Info

Serie A - Round 26

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 4, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 3, ESPN 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 3
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1, Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 3, ESPN 4
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN 3, ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 4, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
International	Starzplay Sports app


	Milan		Parma

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	9.5	Watch
	1.38	4.8	8.25
	1.29	5.4	10.5	Watch
	1.34	5.45	10.5
	1.34	5.35	10.16	Watch
	1.3	5	9.5
	1.33	5.66	9.77
	1.33	5.33	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.33)	5.31 ↑ (5.03)	9.65 ↑ (9.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
72.1%

Draw
18%

Parma
9.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.8%

18.8%

10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.6%

17.6%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.9%	14.3%	2.9%

Milan - Parma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.5 - Parma (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Milan (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Milan will win (29 of 35 users predict this - 82.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.37% – 95.35%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milan will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Parma (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (C) 23. Tomori F. 5. De Winter K. 33. Bartesaghi D. 56. Saelemaekers A. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 14. Modric L. 12. Rabiot A. 2. Estupinan P. 11. Pulisic C. 10. Leao R.	40. Corvi E. (G) 15. Delprato E. (C) 37. Troilo M. 5. Valenti L. 27. Britschgi S. 10. Bernabe A. 16. Keita M. 24. Ordonez C. 14. Valeri E. 7. Strefezza G. 9. Pellegrino M.
Substitutes
24. Athekame Z. 19. Fofana Y. 9. Fullkrug N. 46. Gabbia M. 30. Jashari A. 18. Nkunku C. 27. Odogu D. 31. Pavlovic S. 37. Pittarella M. (G) 4. Ricci S. 1. Terracciano P. (G)	29. Carboni F. 67. Casentini G. (G) 25. Cremaschi B. 61. Drobnic D. 23. Elphege N. 8. Estevez N. 63. Mena M. 41. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 17. Ondrejka J. 21. Oristanio G. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 22. Sorensen O.
Coaches
Allegri M.	Cuesta C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Loftus-Cheek R. ↓, Jashari A. ↑,
32', Saelemaekers A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Troilo M. 🟨,
52', Leao R. 🟨,
59', Ordonez C. ↓, Sorensen O. ↑,
59', Bernabe A. ↓, Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↑,
62', Estupinan P. ↓, Pavlovic S. ↑,
62', Pulisic C. ↓, Fullkrug N. ↑,
76', Strefezza G. ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Troilo M. ⚽, Valeri E. (A),
85', Jashari A. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
85', Tomori F. ↓, Athekame Z. ↑,
90+3', Pellegrino M. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 2.

Milan is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Parma's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Milan is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Milan: Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Parma: Circati A. (Yellow Cards) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury)

We predict that Milan will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Milan won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:26. (average 2.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 2.4:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	AC Milan	6	3	3	0	11:5	6	12
18	Parma	6	1	1	4	4:10	-6	4

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AC Milan: 5.41% Parma: 0.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
18.02.26	Milan - Como	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Pisa - Milan	1:2 ✺
03.02.26	Bologna - Milan	0:3 ✺
25.01.26	Roma - Milan	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Milan - Lecce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWTW
- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
15.02.26	Parma - Verona	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Bologna - Parma	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Parma - Juventus	1:4 ✺
25.01.26	Atalanta - Parma	4:0 ✺
18.01.26	Parma - Genoa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
08.11.25	Parma - Milan	2:2
26.01.25	Milan - Parma	3:2
24.08.24	Parma - Milan	2:1
10.04.21	Parma - Milan	1:3
13.12.20	Milan - Parma	2:2
15.07.20	Milan - Parma	3:1
01.12.19	Parma - Milan	0:1

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