Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 17

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Briceno Rosamedina (Juliaca)


	Escuela Municipal Binacional		Alianza Lima

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.55
	2.58	3.3	2.68	Watch
	2.56	3.22	2.6
	2.5	3.2	2.6
	2.62	3.32	2.64	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.34)	3.24 ↓ (3.33)	2.63 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Escuela Municipal Binacional
36.3%

Draw
28.6%

Alianza Lima
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escuela Municipal Binacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	45.5%	9.1%

Escuela Municipal Binacional - Alianza Lima Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Binacional will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Binacional: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Enriquez D. (G) 4. Romero A. 14. Quina M. 2. Minaya D. 5. Murillo Y. 13. Oncoy F. 7. Aubert E. (C) 20. Crespo H. 10. Polar A. 17. Palacios B. 19. Zeta H.	1. Campos A. (G) 30. Peruzzi G. 3. Vilchez Y. 6. Miguez P. 13. Lagos R. 21. Ballon J. 16. Castillo J. 22. Rodriguez A. 10. Concha J. 17. Zanelatto F. 9. Barcos H.
Substitutes
21. Azurin A. (G) 23. Caceres J. 31. Chumpitaz M. 27. Cirilo J. 6. Mifflin L. 18. Nunez O. 25. Rosell Delgado J. A. 22. Vizcarra J.	28. Chavez E. 8. Costa G. 23. Cueva C. 29. Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. 11. Reyna B. 32. Saravia F. (G) 80. Soyer B. 27. Valenzuela O. 5. Zambrano C.
Coaches
Vaioli C.	Larriera M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Binacional won 1.

Recent matches Binacional is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alianza Lima in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Binacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Binacional won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Binacional won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Escuela Municipal Binacional
Peruvian Liga 1
28.09.23	Unión Comercio - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:2 ✺
23.09.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Cantolao	1:0 ✺
19.09.23	Alianza Atlético - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:0 ✺
15.09.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Cienciano	2:2 ✺
03.09.23	Sport Huancayo - Escuela Municipal Binacional	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWLTL
- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
28.09.23	Alianza Lima - FBC Melgar	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Carlos A. Mannucci - Alianza Lima	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Alianza Lima - Unión Comercio	3:1 ✺
09.09.23	Cantolao - Alianza Lima	0:2 ✺
26.08.23	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
28.05.23	Alianza Lima - Escuela Municipal Binacional	6:1
20.10.22	Alianza Lima - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:0
19.06.22	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Alianza Lima	1:0
12.09.21	Alianza Lima - Escuela Municipal Binacional	3:2
07.05.21	Alianza Lima - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:0
15.12.19	Alianza Lima - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:0
08.12.19	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Alianza Lima	4:1

Upcoming Matches